Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

La Liga

Referee: Adrián Cordero

Real Madrid

T S S T U

1–2

Full-time

Alaves

T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Real Madrid Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 9/10 matches

Win Ø 38%

56%

20%

Points per game

1,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

44%

30%

Both score Ø 53%

56%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,1

Scored

1,7

0,9

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%

20 Shots 11

9 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

12 Corners 9

2 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 4. · Alaves 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	10	7	2	1	+17	23
2	Ath Madrid	9	7	2	0	+17	23
3	Villarreal	10	5	4	1	+4	19
4	Real Madrid	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Sevilla	9	5	1	3	+4	16
6	Cadiz	11	4	3	4	-3	15
7	Granada	9	4	2	3	-4	14
8	Elche	9	3	4	2	-1	13
9	Ath Bilbao	9	4	0	5	+2	12
10	Valencia	11	3	3	5	+0	12
11	Getafe	9	3	3	3	-1	12
12	Betis	10	4	0	6	-9	12
13	Barcelona	8	3	2	3	+6	11
14	Osasuna	9	3	2	4	-1	11
15	Alaves	10	2	4	4	-3	10
16	Eibar	10	2	4	4	-3	10
17	Valladolid	11	2	4	5	-5	10
18	Levante	10	1	5	4	-5	8
19	Huesca	11	0	7	4	-9	7
20	Celta	10	1	4	5	-11	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	6	4	2	0	+6	14
2	Ath Madrid	5	4	1	0	+12	13
3	Sociedad	5	3	1	1	+7	10
4	Granada	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Ath Bilbao	4	3	0	1	+6	9
6	Sevilla	4	3	0	1	+3	9
7	Getafe	5	3	0	2	+2	9
8	Valencia	6	2	2	2	+2	8
9	Barcelona	4	2	1	1	+5	7
10	Osasuna	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Real Madrid	3	2	0	1	+3	6
12	Betis	4	2	0	2	+0	6
13	Valladolid	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Alaves	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Elche	5	1	3	1	-2	6
16	Levante	4	0	3	1	-2	3
17	Huesca	5	0	3	2	-3	3
18	Eibar	6	0	3	3	-4	3
19	Celta	4	1	0	3	-7	3
20	Cadiz	5	0	2	3	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Cadiz	6	4	1	1	+2	13
3	Real Madrid	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Sevilla	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Elche	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Eibar	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Betis	6	2	0	4	-9	6
9	Villarreal	4	1	2	1	-2	5
10	Levante	6	1	2	3	-3	5
11	Barcelona	4	1	1	2	+1	4
12	Osasuna	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Alaves	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Valencia	5	1	1	3	-2	4
15	Valladolid	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Celta	6	0	4	2	-4	4
17	Huesca	6	0	4	2	-6	4
18	Granada	4	1	1	2	-6	4
19	Getafe	4	0	3	1	-3	3
20	Ath Bilbao	5	1	0	4	-4	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.