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Serie B
Monza
U T S S U
1–0
Full-time
Reggina
U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monza Reggina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
This season — Serie B · 7/8 matches
Win Ø 21%
29%
13%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
29%
50%
Both score Ø 60%
57%
63%
Average goals
1,7
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

21 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
9 Corners 2
20 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Monza 10. · Reggina 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lecce 9 5 3 1 +12 18
2 Empoli 9 5 3 1 +7 18
3 Venezia 9 5 2 2 +7 17
4 Salernitana 8 5 2 1 +7 17
5 Frosinone 9 5 1 3 +1 16
6 Spal 8 4 3 1 +5 15
7 Cittadella 8 4 2 2 +7 14
8 Chievo 8 4 2 2 +3 14
9 Pordenone 9 2 6 1 +1 12
10 Monza 7 2 4 1 +2 10
11 Brescia 8 2 3 3 -1 9
12 Cosenza 8 1 5 2 -1 8
13 Vicenza 7 1 4 2 -1 7
14 Reggina 8 1 4 3 -3 7
15 Pisa 8 1 4 3 -7 7
16 Reggiana 7 2 1 4 -8 7
17 Ascoli 8 1 2 5 -5 5
18 Virtus Entella 8 0 5 3 -8 5
19 Pescara 9 1 1 7 -13 4
20 Cremonese 7 0 3 4 -5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,66
U
3,39
B
5,78
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.