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Championship
Referee: A Woolmer
Birmingham
S T T U U
0–0
Full-time
Millwall
T U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Birmingham Millwall
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — Championship · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 27%
23%
31%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 27%
31%
23%
Both score Ø 50%
54%
46%
Average goals
1,7
1,7
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
0,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
8 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Birmingham 17. · Millwall 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 13 8 3 2 +7 27
2 Bournemouth 13 7 5 1 +10 26
3 Reading 14 8 2 4 +5 26
4 Bristol City 14 7 3 4 +3 24
5 Watford 13 6 5 2 +5 23
6 Brentford 13 6 4 3 +7 22
7 Swansea 12 6 4 2 +7 22
8 Middlesbrough 13 5 6 2 +6 21
9 Stoke 13 6 3 4 +3 21
10 Millwall 13 4 7 2 +2 19
11 Luton 13 5 4 4 -2 19
12 Blackburn 13 5 3 5 +10 18
13 QPR 14 4 5 5 -4 17
14 Barnsley 13 4 4 5 +0 16
15 Preston 13 5 1 7 -1 16
16 Huddersfield 13 4 3 6 -2 15
17 Birmingham 13 3 6 4 -2 15
18 Cardiff 13 3 5 5 +0 14
19 Sheffield Weds 13 3 4 6 -5 13
20 Rotherham 13 3 3 7 -4 12
21 Nott'm Forest 13 3 3 7 -7 12
22 Coventry 13 3 3 7 -10 12
23 Wycombe 13 2 3 8 -13 9
24 Derby 13 1 3 9 -15 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Birmingham Millwall
21′
🟨 Jed Wallace
Jonathan Leko 🟨
28′
Half-time 0–0
63′
🔁 M. Smith
↦ T. Parrott
Jérémie Bela 🔁
↦ J. Leko
78′
Ivan Šunjić 🟨
79′
87′
🔁 B. Thompson
↦ J. Wallace
87′
🔁 T. Bradshaw
↦ J. Böðvarsson
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Birmingham

3-4-3
30 N. Etheridge G
5 G. Friend D
12 H. Dean D
2 M. Colin M
4 M. Roberts D
3 K. Pedersen M
19 San José M
17 Iván Sánchez M
34 I. Šunjić F
10 L. Jutkiewicz F
14 J. Leko F
Bench (9)
11 Jérémie Bela
23 Jon Toral
25 J. Cogley
15 J. Clarke-Salter
6 M. Kieftenbeld
18 R. McGree
1 Andrés Prieto
20 G. Gardner
9 S. Hogan

Coach: Karanka

Millwall

3-4-3
33 B. Bialkowski G
15 A. Pearce D
4 S. Hutchinson D
3 M. Wallace M
5 J. Cooper D
18 R. Leonard M
26 J. Skalák M
7 J. Wallace F
19 R. Woods M
22 J. Böðvarsson F
25 T. Parrott F
Bench (9)
10 M. Smith
8 B. Thompson
9 T. Bradshaw
17 J. Brown
6 S. Williams
32 T. Burey
11 S. Ferguson
1 F. Fielding
14 S. Malone

Coach: G. Rowett

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,92
U ✓
2,99
B
2,65
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,50
U2,5 ✓
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Woolmer · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.