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Bundesliga

Referee: R Hartmann

RB Leipzig

S S T S U

2–1

Full-time

Bielefeld

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Bielefeld

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

2,0

0,5

Conceded

0,5

2,7

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-2,2

This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

63%

13%

Points per game

2,1

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

2,0

0,6

Conceded

0,6

2,1

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%

15 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match RB Leipzig 4. · Bielefeld 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	6	1	1	+16	19
2	Dortmund	8	6	0	2	+13	18
3	Leverkusen	8	5	3	0	+7	18
4	RB Leipzig	8	5	2	1	+11	17
5	Wolfsburg	9	4	5	0	+6	17
6	Union Berlin	8	4	3	1	+10	15
7	M'gladbach	8	3	3	2	+0	12
8	Stuttgart	8	2	5	1	+4	11
9	Augsburg	8	3	2	3	-1	11
10	Werder Bremen	9	2	5	2	-2	11
11	Ein Frankfurt	8	2	5	1	-2	11
12	Hoffenheim	8	2	2	4	-1	8
13	Hertha	8	2	1	5	-3	7
14	Freiburg	8	1	3	4	-10	6
15	Mainz	8	1	1	6	-11	4
16	Bielefeld	8	1	1	6	-12	4
17	FC Koln	8	0	3	5	-6	3
18	Schalke 04	8	0	3	5	-19	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Wolfsburg	5	3	2	0	+4	11
3	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	+14	10
4	Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+9	9
5	Union Berlin	4	2	1	1	+7	7
6	Leverkusen	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	M'gladbach	4	1	3	0	+1	6
9	Augsburg	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Werder Bremen	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Stuttgart	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Bielefeld	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Freiburg	4	0	2	2	-4	2
15	Schalke 04	4	0	2	2	-4	2
16	FC Koln	5	0	1	4	-5	1
17	Mainz	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Hertha	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	5	3	2	0	+4	11
2	Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Bayern Munich	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Stuttgart	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Union Berlin	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Hertha	4	2	0	2	+4	6
7	Wolfsburg	4	1	3	0	+2	6
8	Werder Bremen	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	M'gladbach	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	RB Leipzig	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Augsburg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-3	5
13	Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Freiburg	4	1	1	2	-6	4
15	Mainz	4	1	0	3	-6	3
16	FC Koln	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Bielefeld	4	0	1	3	-7	1
18	Schalke 04	4	0	1	3	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.