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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos
Valencia
T T U S U
0–1
Full-time
Ath Madrid
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,8
This season — La Liga · 10/8 matches
Win Ø 53%
30%
75%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
70%
38%
Both score Ø 53%
80%
25%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
1,6
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%
5 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valencia 10. · Ath Madrid 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 10 7 2 1 +17 23
2 Ath Madrid 8 6 2 0 +16 20
3 Villarreal 10 5 4 1 +4 19
4 Real Madrid 9 5 2 2 +5 17
5 Cadiz 11 4 3 4 -3 15
6 Granada 9 4 2 3 -4 14
7 Sevilla 8 4 1 3 +3 13
8 Elche 9 3 4 2 -1 13
9 Ath Bilbao 9 4 0 5 +2 12
10 Valencia 10 3 3 4 +1 12
11 Getafe 9 3 3 3 -1 12
12 Betis 10 4 0 6 -9 12
13 Barcelona 8 3 2 3 +6 11
14 Osasuna 9 3 2 4 -1 11
15 Alaves 10 2 4 4 -3 10
16 Eibar 10 2 4 4 -3 10
17 Valladolid 11 2 4 5 -5 10
18 Levante 10 1 5 4 -5 8
19 Huesca 10 0 7 3 -8 7
20 Celta 10 1 4 5 -11 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,86
U
3,74
B ✓
1,74
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,10
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.