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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Brann
T U U T S
3–1
Full-time
Aalesund
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
2,0
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-2,3
This season — Eliteserien · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 18%
28%
8%
Points per game
1,1
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
60%
76%
Both score Ø 70%
72%
68%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,7
2,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

51% Possession 49%
27 Shots 4
9 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 0
1 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brann 11. · Aalesund 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 25 22 2 1 +57 68
2 Molde 25 16 2 7 +32 50
3 Valerenga 25 13 7 5 +13 46
4 Rosenborg 25 13 6 6 +17 45
5 Odd 25 13 3 9 +8 42
6 Kristiansund 25 10 10 5 +12 40
7 Viking 26 11 6 9 +3 39
8 Haugesund 25 10 4 11 -8 34
9 Stabaek 25 7 10 8 -6 31
10 Sarpsborg 08 25 8 4 13 -5 28
11 Brann 25 7 7 11 -10 28
12 Sandefjord 25 8 4 13 -13 28
13 Start 26 6 7 13 -18 25
14 Stromsgodset 25 5 9 11 -16 24
15 Mjondalen 25 6 2 17 -21 20
16 Aalesund 25 2 5 18 -45 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brann Aalesund
16′
🟨 Davíð Kristján Ólafsson
28′
🟨 Gudmund Kongshavn
1–0 D. Bamba
R. Taylor
36′
39′
V. Fiskerstrand 1–1
K. Jørgensen
2–1 D. Bamba
44′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 S. Sno
↦ M. Karlsbakk
46′
🔁 J. Grønner
↦ Nenass
46′
🔁 A. Lie
↦ G. Kongshavn
59′
🔁 M. Diaw
↦ J. Hatlehol
O. Kolskogen 🔁
↦ J. Fjóluson
60′
3–1 D. Bamba
61′
G. Rólantsson 🔁
↦ S. Svendsen
73′
74′
🔁 P. Larsen
↦ V. Fiskerstrand
M. Rasmussen 🔁
↦ D. Bamba
84′
Ole Martin Lekven Kolskogen 🟨
89′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Brann

4-2-3-1
1 H. Opdal G
4 J. Fjóluson D
3 V. Forren D
21 R. Kristiansen D
5 T. Grøgaard M
18 O. Blomberg D
16 R. Taylor M
29 K. Barmen M
9 P. Strand M
27 S. Svendsen M
11 D. Bamba F
Bench (8)
25 O. Kolskogen
17 G. Rólantsson
7 M. Rasmussen
14 E. Hustad
19 J. Tveita
8 F. Haugen
20 M. Mehnert
36 H. Ræstad

Coach: K. Ingebrigtsen

Aalesund

4-5-1
25 G. Kongshavn G
39 B. Karamoko D
18 D. Ólafsson D
16 J. Hatlehol M
6 D. Klinkenberg D
21 K. Jørgensen D
20 P. Bizoza M
30 I. Uzochukwu M
7 Nenass M
41 M. Karlsbakk M
36 V. Fiskerstrand F
Bench (7)
2 S. Sno
4 J. Grønner
1 A. Lie
17 M. Diaw
19 P. Larsen
8 F. Carlsen
15 S. Sæthre

Coach: L. Nilsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.