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Bundesliga
Referee: H Osmers
Stuttgart
S U U U U
1–3
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,0
4,5
Scored
1,7
3,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,8
This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 50%
25%
75%
Points per game
1,4
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
50%
88%
Both score Ø 82%
88%
75%
Average goals
3,5
5,0
Scored
2,0
3,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

42% Possession 58%
15 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
7 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 8. · Bayern Munich 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 8 6 1 1 +16 19
2 Dortmund 8 6 0 2 +13 18
3 Leverkusen 8 5 3 0 +7 18
4 RB Leipzig 8 5 2 1 +11 17
5 Wolfsburg 9 4 5 0 +6 17
6 Union Berlin 8 4 3 1 +10 15
7 M'gladbach 8 3 3 2 +0 12
8 Stuttgart 8 2 5 1 +4 11
9 Augsburg 8 3 2 3 -1 11
10 Werder Bremen 9 2 5 2 -2 11
11 Ein Frankfurt 8 2 5 1 -2 11
12 Hoffenheim 8 2 2 4 -1 8
13 Hertha 8 2 1 5 -3 7
14 Freiburg 8 1 3 4 -10 6
15 Mainz 8 1 1 6 -11 4
16 Bielefeld 8 1 1 6 -12 4
17 FC Koln 8 0 3 5 -6 3
18 Schalke 04 8 0 3 5 -19 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart Bayern Munich
1–0 T. Coulibaly
S. Wamangituka
20′
38′
K. Coman 1–1
T. Müller
Philipp Förster ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
40′
Half-time 1–2
46′
R. Lewandowski 1–2
K. Coman
M. Klimowicz 🔁
↦ G. Castro
58′
A. Karazor 🔁
↦ K. Mavropanos
58′
58′
🔁 N. Süle
↦ L. Hernández
69′
🔁 Douglas Costa
↦ S. Gnabry
69′
🔁 L. Sané
↦ K. Coman
69′
🔁 T. Nianzou
↦ J. Boateng
S. Kalajdzic 🔁
↦ P. Förster
76′
R. Massimo 🔁
↦ T. Coulibaly
82′
83′
🔁 Javi Martínez
↦ C. Tolisso
87′
Douglas Costa 1–3
L. Sané
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
1 G. Kobel G
4 M. Kempf D
2 W. Anton D
24 B. Sosa M
5 K. Mavropanos D
8 G. Castro F
3 W. Endo M
20 P. Förster F
23 O. Mangala M
7 T. Coulibaly F
14 S. Wamangituka M
Bench (9)
31 M. Klimowicz
16 A. Karazor
9 S. Kalajdzic
30 R. Massimo
25 L. Egloff
35 M. Kamiński
21 P. Klement
33 F. Bredlow
15 P. Stenzel

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
17 J. Boateng D
27 D. Alaba D
21 L. Hernández D
5 B. Pavard D
18 L. Goretzka M
24 C. Tolisso M
25 T. Müller M
9 R. Lewandowski F
7 S. Gnabry M
29 K. Coman M
Bench (9)
4 N. Süle
11 Douglas Costa
10 L. Sané
23 T. Nianzou
8 Javi Martínez
22 Marc Roca
42 J. Musiala
13 E. Choupo-Moting
35 A. Nübel

Coach: H. Flick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,66
U
6,25
B ✓
1,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,26
U2,5
3,78
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Osmers · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.