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Serie A

Referee: D Massa

Atalanta

T T S U U

0–2

Full-time

Verona

U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Verona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Serie A · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 44%

50%

38%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

75%

38%

Both score Ø 63%

88%

38%

Average goals

4,0

2,1

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

1,8

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

15 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Atalanta 7. · Verona 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	8	6	2	0	+11	20
2	Inter	9	5	3	1	+10	18
3	Sassuolo	9	5	3	1	+8	18
4	Roma	8	5	2	1	+8	17
5	Napoli	7	5	0	2	+9	15
6	Juventus	8	3	5	0	+8	14
7	Atalanta	8	4	2	2	+4	14
8	Lazio	8	4	2	2	+0	14
9	Verona	8	3	3	2	+3	12
10	Sampdoria	8	3	1	4	-1	10
11	Cagliari	8	3	1	4	-3	10
12	Benevento	9	3	1	5	-9	10
13	Bologna	8	3	0	5	-1	9
14	Spezia	8	2	3	3	-4	9
15	Fiorentina	8	2	2	4	-3	8
16	Udinese	8	2	1	5	-4	7
17	Parma	8	1	3	4	-8	6
18	Torino	8	1	2	5	-6	5
19	Genoa	8	1	2	5	-9	5
20	Crotone	8	0	2	6	-13	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Verona	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Milan	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Juventus	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Inter	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Napoli	4	2	0	2	+5	6
7	Bologna	4	2	0	2	+2	6
8	Cagliari	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Sassuolo	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Fiorentina	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Udinese	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Parma	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Lazio	4	1	2	1	-2	5
14	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	+1	4
15	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+1	4
16	Benevento	5	1	1	3	-6	4
17	Genoa	4	1	0	3	-2	3
18	Spezia	4	0	2	2	-6	2
19	Torino	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Crotone	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Milan	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Inter	5	3	2	0	+8	11
4	Atalanta	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+4	9
6	Lazio	4	3	0	1	+2	9
7	Juventus	5	1	4	0	+3	7
8	Spezia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Roma	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Sampdoria	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Benevento	4	2	0	2	-3	6
12	Torino	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Cagliari	5	1	1	3	-5	4
14	Bologna	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	Verona	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Fiorentina	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Genoa	4	0	2	2	-7	2
18	Udinese	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Parma	4	0	1	3	-7	1
20	Crotone	4	0	1	3	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.