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Super League
Referee: I Bebek
1–2
Full-time
Olympiakos
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,3
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
0,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,7
This season — Super League · 7/8 matches
Win Ø 87%
86%
88%
Points per game
2,7
2,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
29%
38%
Both score Ø 27%
29%
25%
Average goals
1,9
2,4
Scored
1,4
2,1
Conceded
0,4
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
7 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 1
4 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 2. · Olympiakos 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 8 7 1 0 +15 22
2 Aris Thessalonikis 7 6 1 0 +7 19
3 Aris 8 6 1 1 +6 19
4 PAOK 8 5 3 0 +9 18
5 AEK 7 5 1 1 +9 16
6 Atromitos 10 3 4 3 -4 13
7 Volos NFC 9 3 3 3 -1 12
8 Asteras Tripolis 9 3 3 3 -1 12
9 Giannina 10 2 4 4 -1 10
10 Panathinaikos 10 2 3 5 -2 9
11 OFI Crete 9 2 3 4 -3 9
12 Larisa 8 1 3 4 -6 6
13 Apollon 9 1 2 6 -7 5
14 Panetolikos 10 0 4 6 -10 4
15 Lamia 8 0 2 6 -11 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis Olympiakos
29′
A. Bouchalakis 0–1
K. Fortounis
40′
🟨 Rúben Semedo
Half-time 0–2
47′
A. Bouchalakis 0–2
K. Fortounis
Cristian López 🔁
↦ D. Manos
57′
Xande Silva 🔁
↦ M. García
58′
60′
🟨 Pape Abou Cissé
63′
🔁 G. Masouras
↦ M. Lovera
F. Bertoglio 🔁
↦ Lucas Sasha
69′
1–2 F. Bertoglio
Xande Silva
74′
83′
🟨 Kostas Fortounis
83′
🔁 H. Cuypers
↦ Y. El-Arabi
C. Ganea 🔁
↦ D. Sundgren
84′
84′
🔁 M. Vrousai
↦ K. Fortounis
101′
🔁 Pêpê Rodrigues
↦ A. Bouchalakis
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
99 M. Siampanis G
29 Y. Benalouane D
21 D. Sundgren M
92 L. Rose D
66 E. Sakic D
16 Bruno Gama M
26 Matilla M
88 Lucas Sasha M
6 J. Jeggo M
10 M. García M
9 D. Manos F
Bench (9)
11 Cristian López
17 Xande Silva
18 F. Bertoglio
22 C. Ganea
40 P. Bagalianis
5 G. Delizisis
23 Julián
20 E. Kaçe
7 D. Mancini

Coach: A. Mantzios

Olympiakos

4-3-3
1 José Sá G
13 Rafinha D
25 J. Holebas D
3 Rúben Semedo D
66 P. Cissé D
6 Y. M'Vila M
7 K. Fortounis M
5 A. Bouchalakis M
4 Mohamed Camara M
11 Y. El-Arabi F
22 M. Lovera F
Bench (9)
19 G. Masouras
20 H. Cuypers
17 M. Vrousai
10 Pêpê Rodrigues
2 H. Soudani
21 M. Dräger
31 Ö. Kristinsson
8 Tiago Silva
24 O. Ba

Coach: Pedro Martins

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.