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La Liga

Referee: Guillermo Cuadra

Alaves

T U T S S

1–2

Full-time

Real Madrid

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

1,8

2,7

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+2,0

This season — La Liga · 14/13 matches

Win Ø 49%

36%

62%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

36%

54%

Both score Ø 41%

36%

46%

Average goals

2,4

2,9

Scored

1,1

2,2

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%

8 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

9 Corners 4

2 Offside 5

18 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 13. · Real Madrid 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	9	1	3	+19	28
2	Real Madrid	13	8	4	1	+18	28
3	Sevilla	14	8	3	3	+4	27
4	Ath Madrid	14	6	7	1	+7	25
5	Ath Bilbao	14	6	5	3	+6	23
6	Sociedad	14	7	2	5	+5	23
7	Getafe	14	5	6	3	+3	21
8	Granada	14	6	3	5	+2	21
9	Levante	14	6	2	6	+1	20
10	Valencia	14	5	5	4	+0	20
11	Osasuna	14	4	7	3	+2	19
12	Villarreal	14	5	3	6	+5	18
13	Alaves	14	5	3	6	-2	18
14	Valladolid	15	4	6	5	-4	18
15	Betis	14	4	4	6	-7	16
16	Eibar	14	4	3	7	-9	15
17	Mallorca	14	4	2	8	-8	14
18	Celta	15	3	4	8	-10	13
19	Espanol	14	2	3	9	-16	9
20	Leganes	14	1	3	10	-16	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	6	0	0	+18	18
2	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+12	17
3	Ath Bilbao	7	5	1	1	+8	16
4	Ath Madrid	7	4	3	0	+6	15
5	Alaves	7	4	2	1	+7	14
6	Levante	7	4	2	1	+5	14
7	Betis	8	4	2	2	+3	14
8	Mallorca	8	4	2	2	+3	14
9	Valencia	7	3	4	0	+5	13
10	Granada	7	4	1	2	+3	13
11	Villarreal	7	3	3	1	+7	12
12	Osasuna	7	3	3	1	+4	12
13	Getafe	7	3	3	1	+4	12
14	Sevilla	6	3	2	1	+3	11
15	Sociedad	6	3	1	2	+5	10
16	Valladolid	6	2	3	1	+4	9
17	Eibar	7	3	0	4	-6	9
18	Celta	8	2	2	4	-4	8
19	Leganes	8	1	1	6	-7	4
20	Espanol	7	0	1	6	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	8	5	1	2	+1	16
2	Sociedad	8	4	1	3	+0	13
3	Real Madrid	6	3	2	1	+6	11
4	Barcelona	7	3	1	3	+1	10
5	Ath Madrid	7	2	4	1	+1	10
6	Getafe	7	2	3	2	-1	9
7	Valladolid	9	2	3	4	-8	9
8	Granada	7	2	2	3	-1	8
9	Espanol	7	2	2	3	-5	8
10	Osasuna	7	1	4	2	-2	7
11	Ath Bilbao	7	1	4	2	-2	7
12	Valencia	7	2	1	4	-5	7
13	Villarreal	7	2	0	5	-2	6
14	Eibar	7	1	3	3	-3	6
15	Levante	7	2	0	5	-4	6
16	Celta	7	1	2	4	-6	5
17	Alaves	7	1	1	5	-9	4
18	Leganes	6	0	2	4	-9	2
19	Betis	6	0	2	4	-10	2
20	Mallorca	6	0	0	6	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.