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Pro League
Referee: K Van Damme
Cercle Brugge
T S S T T
1–5
Full-time
Genk
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,2
3,0
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,2
This season — Pro League · 15/14 matches
Win Ø 52%
47%
57%
Points per game
1,4
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
67%
71%
Both score Ø 70%
53%
86%
Average goals
3,0
3,4
Scored
1,5
2,1
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

8 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 11
2 Corners 6
9 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cercle Brugge 9. · Genk 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 14 8 5 1 +13 29
2 Beerschot VA 14 9 1 4 +5 28
3 Charleroi 14 7 3 4 +8 24
4 Club Brugge 12 7 2 3 +17 23
5 Antwerp 13 6 5 2 +7 23
6 Standard 13 6 5 2 +5 23
7 Anderlecht 13 5 7 1 +9 22
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13 6 4 3 +2 22
9 Cercle Brugge 15 7 0 8 +1 21
10 Eupen 15 4 8 3 -2 20
11 Gent 14 6 1 7 +4 19
12 Kortrijk 15 5 4 6 -1 19
13 Waregem 15 5 2 8 -8 17
14 Oostende 13 4 4 5 +3 16
15 Mechelen 11 4 3 4 -2 15
16 St Truiden 14 2 6 6 -9 12
17 Waasland-Beveren 13 2 3 8 -13 9
18 Beveren 13 2 3 8 -13 9
19 Mouscron 11 1 3 7 -13 6
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 11 1 3 7 -13 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cercle Brugge Genk
9′
P. Onuachu 0–1
J. Ito
16′
J. Ito 0–2
J. Uronen
30′
B. Heynen 0–3
J. Mæhle
Dino Hotić 🟨
33′
38′
P. Onuachu 0–4
T. Bongonda
Half-time 1–4
1–4 D. Hotič
K. Hoggas
51′
A. Corryn 🔁
↦ C. Vanhoutte
57′
Jean Marcelin 🟨
62′
74′
T. Bongonda 1–5
B. Heynen
77′
🔁 C. Dessers
↦ P. Onuachu
77′
🔁 E. Kouassi
↦ B. Heynen
T. Somers 🔁
↦ A. Musaba
78′
Leonardo Lopes 🔁
↦ D. Hotič
81′
82′
🔁 L. Oyen
↦ T. Bongonda
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Cercle Brugge

4-3-3
1 T. Didillon G
3 D. Bates D
24 J. Marcelin D
2 Vitinho D
8 R. Decostere D
20 K. Hoggas M
98 F. Kanoute M
14 C. Vanhoutte M
10 D. Hotič F
9 I. Ugbo F
11 A. Musaba F
Bench (7)
25 A. Corryn
34 T. Somers
42 Leonardo Lopes
23 O. Deman
21 Warleson
4 J. Taravel
15 J. Omolo

Coach: P. Clement

Genk

3-4-3
1 D. Vuković G
21 J. Uronen D
33 J. Lucumí D
46 C. Cuesta D
31 J. Mæhle D
23 D. Muñoz D
17 P. Hrošovský M
8 B. Heynen M
18 P. Onuachu F
10 T. Bongonda M
7 J. Ito M
Bench (7)
9 C. Dessers
38 E. Kouassi
24 L. Oyen
26 M. Vandevoordt
5 G. Arteaga
42 K. Thorstvedt
4 D. Wouters

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,40
U
3,77
B ✓
1,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,39
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Van Damme · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.