Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sassuolo
Inter
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Milan
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 20 |
| 2 |
Sassuolo
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 |
Roma
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 4 |
Napoli
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 |
Inter
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 15 |
| 6 |
Atalanta
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |
Lazio
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +0 | 14 |
| 8 |
Juventus
|
7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +8 | 13 |
| 9 |
Verona
|
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 |
Sampdoria
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |
Cagliari
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 |
Bologna
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 |
Spezia
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 |
Benevento
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 |
Fiorentina
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 |
Udinese
|
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 |
Parma
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |
Torino
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 |
Crotone
|
8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 2 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Toljan
D
M. Lopez
M
M. Locatelli
M
D. Berardi
M
J. Boga
M
G. Raspadori
F
Coach: R. De Zerbi
S. de Vrij
D
M. Škriniar
D
A. Bastoni
D
I. Perišić
M
R. Gagliardini
M
N. Barella
M
L. Martínez
F
Coach: A. Conte
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Verona
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Udinese
Napoli
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Torino
Bologna
Sassuolo
M Irrati · 54 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.