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Serie A
Referee: M Irrati
Sassuolo
S U S U S
0–3
Full-time
Inter
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
This season — Serie A · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 57%
63%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 76%
63%
88%
Average goals
3,6
4,1
Scored
2,5
2,5
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

65% Possession 35%
7 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 2. · Inter 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 8 6 2 0 +11 20
2 Sassuolo 8 5 3 0 +11 18
3 Roma 8 5 2 1 +8 17
4 Napoli 7 5 0 2 +9 15
5 Inter 8 4 3 1 +7 15
6 Atalanta 8 4 2 2 +4 14
7 Lazio 8 4 2 2 +0 14
8 Juventus 7 3 4 0 +8 13
9 Verona 8 3 3 2 +3 12
10 Sampdoria 8 3 1 4 -1 10
11 Cagliari 8 3 1 4 -3 10
12 Bologna 8 3 0 5 -1 9
13 Spezia 8 2 3 3 -4 9
14 Benevento 8 3 0 5 -9 9
15 Fiorentina 8 2 2 4 -3 8
16 Udinese 8 2 1 5 -4 7
17 Parma 8 1 3 4 -8 6
18 Torino 8 1 2 5 -6 5
19 Genoa 8 1 2 5 -9 5
20 Crotone 8 0 2 6 -13 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sassuolo Inter
4′
A. Sánchez 0–1
L. Martínez
14′
V. Chiricheș 1–1
own goal
Marlon 🔁
↦ V. Chiricheș
42′
Half-time 1–1
Manuel Locatelli 🟨
49′
Rogério 🟨
57′
Pedro Obiang 🔁
↦ F. Đuričić
59′
M. Müldür 🔁
↦ J. Toljan
59′
60′
R. Gagliardini 1–2
M. Darmian
Maxime López 🟨
66′
N. Schiappacasse 🔁
↦ M. Lopez
76′
H. Traorè 🔁
↦ G. Raspadori
76′
80′
🟨 Ivan Perišić
80′
🔁 R. Lukaku
↦ L. Martínez
80′
🔁 A. Young
↦ A. Sánchez
85′
🔁 C. Eriksen
↦ I. Perišić
85′
🔁 S. Sensi
↦ N. Barella
92′
🔁 A. Hakimi
↦ M. Darmian
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sassuolo

4-2-3-1
47 A. Consigli G
21 V. Chiricheș D
22 J. Toljan D
31 G. Ferrari D
6 Rogério D
10 F. Đuričić M
8 M. Lopez M
73 M. Locatelli M
25 D. Berardi M
7 J. Boga M
18 G. Raspadori F
Bench (12)
2 Marlon
14 Pedro Obiang
17 M. Müldür
91 N. Schiappacasse
23 H. Traorè
13 F. Peluso
56 G. Pegolo
77 G. Kiriakopoulos
68 M. Bourabia
4 F. Magnanelli
5 K. Ayhan
30 B. Oddei

Coach: R. De Zerbi

Inter

3-5-2
1 S. Handanovič G
36 M. Darmian M
6 S. de Vrij D
37 M. Škriniar D
95 A. Bastoni D
14 I. Perišić M
22 A. Vidal M
5 R. Gagliardini M
23 N. Barella M
7 A. Sánchez F
10 L. Martínez F
Bench (9)
9 R. Lukaku
15 A. Young
24 C. Eriksen
12 S. Sensi
2 A. Hakimi
35 F. Stankovic
13 A. Ranocchia
33 D. D'Ambrosio
97 I. Radu

Coach: A. Conte

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,43
U
4,15
B ✓
1,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,44
U2,5
2,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Irrati · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.