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Championship
Referee: A Madley
Blackburn
T U S U S
2–1
Full-time
Barnsley
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Barnsley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — Championship · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 35%
38%
31%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
62%
38%
Both score Ø 35%
38%
31%
Average goals
3,1
2,2
Scored
1,9
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
7 Shots 23
6 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 11
1 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 12. · Barnsley 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 13 8 3 2 +7 27
2 Bournemouth 13 7 5 1 +10 26
3 Reading 14 8 2 4 +5 26
4 Bristol City 14 7 3 4 +3 24
5 Watford 13 6 5 2 +5 23
6 Brentford 13 6 4 3 +7 22
7 Swansea 12 6 4 2 +7 22
8 Middlesbrough 13 5 6 2 +6 21
9 Stoke 13 6 3 4 +3 21
10 Millwall 13 4 7 2 +2 19
11 Luton 13 5 4 4 -2 19
12 Blackburn 13 5 3 5 +10 18
13 QPR 14 4 5 5 -4 17
14 Barnsley 13 4 4 5 +0 16
15 Preston 13 5 1 7 -1 16
16 Huddersfield 13 4 3 6 -2 15
17 Birmingham 13 3 6 4 -2 15
18 Cardiff 13 3 5 5 +0 14
19 Sheffield Weds 13 3 4 6 -5 13
20 Rotherham 13 3 3 7 -4 12
21 Nott'm Forest 13 3 3 7 -7 12
22 Coventry 13 3 3 7 -10 12
23 Wycombe 13 2 3 8 -13 9
24 Derby 13 1 3 9 -15 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn Barnsley
A. Bell 🔁
↦ B. Douglas
14′
1–0 A. Armstrong
R. Nyambe
44′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🔁 D. Frieser
↦ C. Chaplin
58′
🔁 V. Adeboyejo
↦ L. Thomas
S. Gallagher 🔁
↦ H. Elliott
66′
B. Johnson 🔁
↦ T. Trybull
66′
68′
🔁 C. Oduor
↦ A. Mowatt
Adam Armstrong 🟨
69′
H. Carter 🔁
↦ S. Wharton
76′
2–0 S. Gallagher
78′
82′
🔁 G. Miller
↦ C. Woodrow
82′
🔁 R. Palmer
↦ C. Styles
Joe Rothwell 🟨
90′
90′
R. Palmer 2–1
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Blackburn

4-3-3
1 T. Kaminski G
15 B. Douglas D
26 D. Lenihan D
28 S. Wharton D
2 R. Nyambe D
10 L. Holtby M
19 T. Trybull M
8 J. Rothwell M
16 H. Elliott F
7 A. Armstrong F
20 B. Brereton F
Bench (9)
17 A. Bell
9 S. Gallagher
4 B. Johnson
25 H. Carter
6 S. Downing
11 H. Chapman
21 J. Buckley
13 A. Pears
39 T. Dolan

Coach: T. Mowbray

Barnsley

3-4-3
1 J. Walton G
26 M. Sollbauer D
30 M. Helik D
6 M. Andersen D
7 C. Brittain M
27 A. Mowatt M
8 H. Kane M
16 L. Thomas F
9 C. Woodrow F
11 C. Chaplin F
4 C. Styles M
Bench (9)
28 D. Frieser
29 V. Adeboyejo
22 C. Oduor
25 G. Miller
21 R. Palmer
32 M. James
40 B. Collins
19 P. Schmidt
34 J. Moon

Coach: V. Ismaël

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,92
U
3,51
B
4,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,95
U2,5
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Madley · 167 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.