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Ekstraklasa

Stal Mielec

T T T T U

3–1

Full-time

Jagiellonia

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec Jagiellonia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

2,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,5

This season — Ekstraklasa · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 25%

10%

40%

Points per game

0,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

50%

60%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

3,2

2,9

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Stal Mielec 16. · Jagiellonia 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	10	7	1	2	+6	22
2	Rakow	10	6	3	1	+11	21
3	Gornik Zabrze	11	6	2	3	+6	20
4	Cracovia	11	4	5	2	+2	17
5	Lechia Gdansk	10	5	1	4	+2	16
6	Pogon Szczecin	9	4	3	2	+4	15
7	Zaglebie	10	4	3	3	+2	15
8	Slask Wroclaw	10	4	2	4	+3	14
9	Jagiellonia	10	4	2	4	-1	14
10	Warta Poznan	10	4	1	5	-2	13
11	Lech Poznan	9	2	4	3	+1	10
12	Wisla	10	2	4	4	+1	10
13	Wisla Plock	10	2	3	5	-6	9
14	Podbeskidzie	10	2	3	5	-11	9
15	Piast Gliwice	10	2	2	6	-6	8
16	Stal Mielec	10	1	3	6	-12	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zaglebie	6	3	3	0	+4	12
2	Slask Wroclaw	5	3	2	0	+5	11
3	Cracovia	6	3	2	1	+3	11
4	Rakow	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Gornik Zabrze	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Lechia Gdansk	5	3	0	2	+4	9
7	Pogon Szczecin	5	2	3	0	+4	9
8	Legia	5	3	0	2	+0	9
9	Jagiellonia	5	2	2	1	+3	8
10	Podbeskidzie	5	2	1	2	-2	7
11	Lech Poznan	4	1	3	0	+1	6
12	Piast Gliwice	5	1	1	3	-3	4
13	Wisla Plock	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Warta Poznan	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Wisla	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Stal Mielec	4	1	0	3	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Rakow	5	3	2	0	+7	11
3	Gornik Zabrze	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Warta Poznan	5	3	0	2	+2	9
5	Wisla	6	1	4	1	+5	7
6	Lechia Gdansk	5	2	1	2	-2	7
7	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Cracovia	5	1	3	1	-1	6
9	Jagiellonia	5	2	0	3	-4	6
10	Wisla Plock	5	1	2	2	-3	5
11	Lech Poznan	5	1	1	3	+0	4
12	Piast Gliwice	5	1	1	3	-3	4
13	Slask Wroclaw	5	1	0	4	-2	3
14	Zaglebie	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	Stal Mielec	6	0	3	3	-4	3
16	Podbeskidzie	5	0	2	3	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.