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Süper Lig
Referee: Ali Palabıyık
Gaziantep
U S U S S
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gaziantep Yeni Malatyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 9/8 matches
Win Ø 36%
33%
38%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
44%
38%
Both score Ø 64%
78%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
6 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 13
6 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gaziantep 4. · Yeni Malatyaspor 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 8 6 2 0 +15 20
2 Fenerbahce 9 6 2 1 +8 20
3 Galatasaray 9 5 2 2 +5 17
4 Gaziantep 9 3 5 1 +2 14
5 Karagumruk 9 3 4 2 +6 13
6 Buyuksehyr 9 4 1 4 +1 13
7 Besiktas 8 4 1 3 -1 13
8 Konyaspor 8 3 3 2 +4 12
9 Rizespor 8 3 3 2 +2 12
10 Kasimpasa 9 3 3 3 +1 12
11 Hatayspor 7 3 3 1 -2 12
12 Trabzonspor 10 3 3 4 -3 12
13 Goztep 8 2 5 1 +5 11
14 Yeni Malatyaspor 8 3 2 3 -2 11
15 Sivasspor 8 2 3 3 -2 9
16 Antalyaspor 9 2 3 4 -5 9
17 Erzurumspor 8 2 2 4 -4 8
18 Kayserispor 8 2 1 5 -6 7
19 Genclerbirligi 8 1 2 5 -8 5
20 Denizlispor 8 1 2 5 -8 5
21 Ankaragücü 8 0 2 6 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gaziantep Yeni Malatyaspor
1–0 K. Mirallas
O. Ceylan
19′
Muhammet Demir 🟨
44′
Oğuz Ceylan 🟨
45′
Alexandru Maxim 🟨
45′
Kenan Özer 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
Oğuz Ceylan 🟨
48′
Oğuz Ceylan 🟥
48′
49′
A. Büyük 1–1
B. Tetteh
51′
🟨 Afriyie Acquah
Alin Toșca 🟨
52′
A. Vetrih 🔁
↦ K. Özer
52′
65′
🟨 Kubilay Kanatsızkuş
68′
🔁 M. Eskihellaç
↦ K. Kanatsızkuş
68′
🔁 A. Ildız
↦ U. Bulut
2–1 J. Kana-Biyik
P. Djilobodji
74′
André 🔁
↦ M. Demir
75′
C. Şahin 🔁
↦ A. Maxim
75′
83′
🔁 M. Fofana
↦ Y. Ndayishimiye
84′
🟨 Karim Hafez
Jefferson 🔁
↦ K. Mirallas
89′
F. Soyalp 🔁
↦ André Sousa
89′
89′
🔁 J. Topalli
↦ I. Chebake
90′
ℹ️ Jetmir Topalli
VAR: Goal cancelled
95′
J. Topalli 2–2
S. Kaya
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Gaziantep

3-5-2
1 G. Güvenç G
6 A. Toșca D
3 P. Djilobodji D
16 P. Olkowski M
76 J. Kana-Biyik D
17 O. Ceylan M
27 K. Mirallas M
7 K. Özer F
44 A. Maxim M
28 André Sousa M
10 M. Demir F
Bench (10)
74 A. Vetrih
9 André
77 C. Şahin
8 Jefferson
88 F. Soyalp
5 K. Aktaş
20 Z. Kožulj
23 M. Uğurlu
25 Ç. Akbaba
11 G. Vural

Coach: M. Şumudică

Yeni Malatyaspor

4-2-3-1
1 A. Damlu G
26 S. Kaya D
57 I. Chebake D
13 Wallace D
45 Karim Hafez D
6 A. Acquah M
55 Y. Ndayishimiye M
9 U. Bulut F
99 A. Büyük M
19 B. Tetteh M
90 K. Kanatsızkuş M
Bench (10)
77 M. Eskihellaç
20 A. Ildız
21 M. Fofana
98 J. Topalli
25 E. Özbir
7 B. Yıldız
92 B. Cevahir
17 T. Hadebe
8 F. Zuqui
44 M. Akça

Coach: H. Hamzaoğlu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
U ✓
3,35
B
3,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,82
U2,5
1,98
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ali Palabıyık · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.