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La Liga

Referee: Santiago Jaime

Real Madrid

U U S S S

0–1

Full-time

Cadiz

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Cadiz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 58%

75%

40%

Points per game

2,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 23%

25%

20%

Both score Ø 33%

25%

40%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

74% Possession 26%

14 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 11

6 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 5

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 1. · Cadiz 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Granada	5	3	1	1	-1	10
3	Betis	5	3	0	2	+1	9
4	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+7	8
5	Sociedad	5	2	2	1	+5	8
6	Villarreal	5	2	2	1	-1	8
7	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+7	7
8	Sevilla	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Getafe	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Valencia	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Cadiz	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Osasuna	4	2	0	2	+1	6
13	Celta	6	1	2	3	-6	5
14	Eibar	5	1	1	3	-2	4
15	Huesca	5	0	4	1	-2	4
16	Elche	3	1	1	1	-2	4
17	Alaves	5	1	1	3	-3	4
18	Levante	4	1	0	3	-3	3
19	Ath Bilbao	4	1	0	3	-3	3
20	Valladolid	5	0	2	3	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Granada	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+5	4
5	Barcelona	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Alaves	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Betis	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Celta	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Valladolid	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Huesca	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Elche	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Cadiz	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Levante	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Cadiz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Betis	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Sociedad	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Sevilla	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Elche	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Valencia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Huesca	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Levante	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Ath Bilbao	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Celta	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Villarreal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Granada	2	0	1	1	-5	1
19	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Valladolid	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.