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Championship
Referee: K Stroud
Norwich
S U S S S
1–1
Full-time
Coventry
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Coventry
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
This season — Championship · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 43%
62%
23%
Points per game
2,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
38%
54%
Both score Ø 50%
46%
54%
Average goals
2,1
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%
9 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
1 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norwich 1. · Coventry 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 13 8 3 2 +7 27
2 Bournemouth 13 7 5 1 +10 26
3 Reading 14 8 2 4 +5 26
4 Bristol City 14 7 3 4 +3 24
5 Watford 13 6 5 2 +5 23
6 Brentford 13 6 4 3 +7 22
7 Swansea 12 6 4 2 +7 22
8 Middlesbrough 13 5 6 2 +6 21
9 Stoke 13 6 3 4 +3 21
10 Millwall 13 4 7 2 +2 19
11 Luton 13 5 4 4 -2 19
12 Blackburn 13 5 3 5 +10 18
13 QPR 14 4 5 5 -4 17
14 Barnsley 13 4 4 5 +0 16
15 Preston 13 5 1 7 -1 16
16 Huddersfield 13 4 3 6 -2 15
17 Birmingham 13 3 6 4 -2 15
18 Cardiff 13 3 5 5 +0 14
19 Sheffield Weds 13 3 4 6 -5 13
20 Rotherham 13 3 3 7 -4 12
21 Nott'm Forest 13 3 3 7 -7 12
22 Coventry 13 3 3 7 -10 12
23 Wycombe 13 2 3 8 -13 9
24 Derby 13 1 3 9 -15 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Norwich Coventry
1–0 M. Vrančić
27′
Half-time 1–0
Jacob Lungi Sørensen 🟨
55′
61′
🔁 G. Hamer
↦ J. Allen
61′
🔁 J. Shipley
↦ B. Sheaf
62′
🔁 T. Walker
↦ A. Bakayoko
77′
🔁 W. Jobello
↦ F. Dabo
77′
🔁 M. Biamou
↦ L. Kelly
C. Zimmermann 🔁
↦ J. Martin
85′
89′
M. Biamou 1–1
Max Aarons 🟨
90′
R. McAlear 🔁
↦ M. Aarons
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Norwich

4-2-3-1
33 M. McGovern G
5 G. Hanley D
34 B. Gibson D
2 M. Aarons D
8 M. Vrančić M
27 A. Tettey M
18 M. Stiepermann F
11 P. Płacheta M
19 J. Sørensen D
20 O. Skipp M
24 J. Martin M
Bench (6)
6 C. Zimmermann
42 R. McAlear
53 T. Omotoye
57 T. Dickson-Peters
44 A. Omobamidele
50 D. Barden

Coach: D. Farke

Coventry

5-4-1
13 B. Wilson G
5 K. McFadzean D
23 F. Dabo D
15 D. Hyam D
2 L. Østigård D
6 L. Kelly M
8 J. Allen M
14 B. Sheaf M
18 R. Giles D
11 C. O'Hare M
20 A. Bakayoko F
Bench (9)
38 G. Hamer
26 J. Shipley
19 T. Walker
10 W. Jobello
9 M. Biamou
41 W. Bapaga
27 J. Thompson
22 L. Camp
46 B. Rowe

Coach: M. Robins

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,63
U ✓
3,97
B
5,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,81
U2,5 ✓
1,99
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Stroud · 147 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.