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La Liga

Referee: Santiago Jaime Latre

Real Madrid

U T S S S

3–0

Full-time

Alaves

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

This season — La Liga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 50%

57%

43%

Points per game

1,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

48%

Both score Ø 46%

43%

48%

Average goals

2,9

2,2

Scored

1,6

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

71% Possession 29%

22 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 2

3 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 3. · Alaves 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	22	15	5	2	+37	50
2	Ath Madrid	22	12	8	2	+18	44
3	Real Madrid	21	12	3	6	+8	39
4	Sevilla	22	10	6	6	+13	36
5	Getafe	22	8	8	6	+7	32
6	Betis	22	9	5	8	+0	32
7	Alaves	21	9	5	7	-2	32
8	Valencia	22	6	12	4	+4	30
9	Sociedad	22	8	6	8	+2	30
10	Eibar	22	7	8	7	-1	29
11	Levante	22	7	6	9	-8	27
12	Ath Bilbao	22	5	11	6	-5	26
13	Valladolid	22	6	7	9	-9	25
14	Espanol	22	7	4	11	-11	25
15	Celta	22	6	6	10	-2	24
16	Girona	22	5	9	8	-8	24
17	Leganes	21	5	8	8	-6	23
18	Vallecano	21	6	5	10	-11	23
19	Villarreal	22	3	10	9	-8	19
20	Huesca	22	3	6	13	-18	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	11	9	2	0	+15	29
2	Barcelona	12	8	3	1	+23	27
3	Sevilla	10	7	2	1	+12	23
4	Real Madrid	10	7	1	2	+10	22
5	Eibar	12	6	4	2	+9	22
6	Betis	12	6	3	3	+2	21
7	Alaves	10	5	4	1	+4	19
8	Espanol	10	6	0	4	-2	18
9	Leganes	10	4	5	1	+3	17
10	Ath Bilbao	11	4	5	2	+0	17
11	Getafe	10	5	1	4	+7	16
12	Valencia	11	3	7	1	+6	16
13	Celta	12	4	4	4	+4	16
14	Levante	11	4	3	4	-4	15
15	Sociedad	11	3	4	4	-1	13
16	Vallecano	11	3	4	4	-5	13
17	Valladolid	10	3	2	5	-3	11
18	Girona	11	2	5	4	-5	11
19	Huesca	11	2	4	5	-3	10
20	Villarreal	12	1	6	5	-4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	7	2	1	+14	23
2	Sociedad	11	5	2	4	+3	17
3	Real Madrid	11	5	2	4	-2	17
4	Getafe	12	3	7	2	+0	16
5	Ath Madrid	11	3	6	2	+3	15
6	Valencia	11	3	5	3	-2	14
7	Valladolid	12	3	5	4	-6	14
8	Sevilla	12	3	4	5	+1	13
9	Girona	11	3	4	4	-3	13
10	Alaves	11	4	1	6	-6	13
11	Levante	11	3	3	5	-4	12
12	Betis	10	3	2	5	-2	11
13	Villarreal	10	2	4	4	-4	10
14	Vallecano	10	3	1	6	-6	10
15	Ath Bilbao	11	1	6	4	-5	9
16	Celta	10	2	2	6	-6	8
17	Espanol	12	1	4	7	-9	7
18	Eibar	10	1	4	5	-10	7
19	Leganes	11	1	3	7	-9	6
20	Huesca	11	1	2	8	-15	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.