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Bundesliga
Referee: Florian Badstubner
Bayern Munich
S S U S S
6–0
Full-time
RB Leipzig
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,8
Scored
3,0
1,7
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

1,72 xG 0,54
63% Possession 37%
19 Shots 12
10 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. May -25 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 3–3 20. Dec -24 Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig 5–1 24. Feb -24 Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig 2–1 30. Sep -23 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 2–2 20. May -23 Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig 1–3

Match report

Bayern Munich RB Leipzig
1–0 M. Olise ⚽
27′
2–0 L. Diaz ⚽
S. Gnabry
32′
34′
🟨 Willi Orbán
3–0 M. Olise ⚽
S. Gnabry
42′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 A. Nusa
↦ Y. Diomande
46′
🔁 Romulo Cardoso
↦ L. Openda
Jonathan Tah 🟨
49′
Konrad Laimer 🟨
63′
4–0 H. Kane ⚽
L. Diaz
64′
Joshua Kimmich 🟨
68′
Kim Min-Jae 🔁
↦ J. Tah
68′
A. Pavlovic 🔁
↦ L. Goretzka
68′
S. Boey 🔁
↦ K. Laimer
69′
L. Karl 🔁
↦ S. Gnabry
69′
69′
🔁 E. Banzuzi
↦ X. Schlager
69′
🔁 C. Baumgartner
↦ J. Bakayoko
71′
ℹ️ Ridle Baku
VAR: Goal cancelled
5–0 H. Kane ⚽
L. Diaz
74′
6–0 H. Kane ⚽
Kim Min-Jae
78′
J. Kusi Asare 🔁
↦ H. Kane
86′
Michael Olise 🟨
87′
88′
🔁 A. Ouedraogo
↦ N. Seiwald
Full-time 6–0

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
27 K. Laimer D
2 D. Upamecano D
4 J. Tah D
44 J. Stanisic D
6 J. Kimmich M
8 L. Goretzka M
17 M. Olise M
7 S. Gnabry M
14 L. Diaz M
9 H. Kane F
Bench (9)
40 J. Urbig
26 S. Ulreich
23 S. Boey
22 R. Guerreiro
3 Kim Min-Jae
45 A. Pavlovic
42 L. Karl
41 J. Kusi Asare
36 W. Mike

Coach: Vincent Kompany

RB Leipzig

4-3-3
1 P. Gulacsi G
17 R. Baku D
4 W. Orban D
23 C. Lukeba D
22 D. Raum D
24 X. Schlager M
13 N. Seiwald M
10 X. Simons M
9 J. Bakayoko F
11 L. Openda F
49 Y. Diomande F
Bench (9)
26 M. Vandevoordt
2 L. Geertruida
5 E. Bitshiabu
19 K. Nedeljkovic
6 E. Banzuzi
14 C. Baumgartner
20 A. Ouedraogo
7 A. Nusa
40 Romulo Cardoso

Coach: Ole Werner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,21
🔒
U
7,13
🔒
B
10,30
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,24
🔒
U2,5
3,91
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Florian Badstubner · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.