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Bundesliga
Referee: D Schlager
M'gladbach
S S T U S
1–1
Full-time
Wolfsburg
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
0,7
Scored
1,3
0,3
Conceded
1,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
13 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match M'gladbach 12. · Wolfsburg 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 4 3 1 0 +8 10
2 Bayern Munich 4 3 0 1 +9 9
3 Dortmund 4 3 0 1 +6 9
4 Stuttgart 4 2 1 1 +4 7
5 Ein Frankfurt 3 2 1 0 +3 7
6 Augsburg 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Werder Bremen 4 2 1 1 +0 7
8 Hoffenheim 4 2 0 2 +2 6
9 Leverkusen 4 1 3 0 +1 6
10 Freiburg 4 1 2 1 -3 5
11 Union Berlin 3 1 1 1 +2 4
12 M'gladbach 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Bielefeld 4 1 1 2 -3 4
14 Wolfsburg 3 0 3 0 +0 3
15 Hertha 4 1 0 3 -2 3
16 FC Koln 3 0 0 3 -4 0
17 Mainz 4 0 0 4 -10 0
18 Schalke 04 3 0 0 3 -14 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

M'gladbach Wolfsburg
21′
🟨 Xaver Schlager
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Y. Gerhardt
↦ X. Schlager
P. Herrmann 🔁
↦ B. Embolo
70′
H. Wolf 🔁
↦ L. Stindl
70′
T. Jantschke 🔁
↦ S. Lainer
76′
R. Bensebaini 🔁
↦ O. Wendt
76′
Florian Neuhaus 🟨
77′
77′
🟨 Josuha Guilavogui
78′
🔁 R. Steffen
↦ A. Mehmedi
1–0 J. Hofmann
78′
I. Traoré 🔁
↦ M. Thuram
85′
85′
W. Weghorst 1–1
R. Baku
89′
🔁 M. Philipp
↦ J. Brekalo
Patrick Herrmann 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

M'gladbach

4-2-3-1
1 Y. Sommer G
17 O. Wendt D
18 S. Lainer D
28 M. Ginter D
30 N. Elvedi D
13 L. Stindl M
6 C. Kramer M
23 J. Hofmann M
32 F. Neuhaus M
36 B. Embolo F
10 M. Thuram M
Bench (8)
7 P. Herrmann
11 H. Wolf
24 T. Jantschke
25 R. Bensebaini
16 I. Traoré
3 M. Lang
43 R. Reitz
21 T. Sippel

Coach: M. Rose

Wolfsburg

4-3-3
1 K. Casteels G
15 J. Roussillon D
25 J. Brooks D
4 M. Lacroix D
14 A. Mehmedi F
23 J. Guilavogui M
27 M. Arnold M
24 X. Schlager M
7 J. Brekalo F
20 R. Baku D
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (9)
31 Y. Gerhardt
8 R. Steffen
17 M. Philipp
11 F. Klaus
29 O. Marmoush
21 B. Białek
12 P. Pervan
39 T. Siersleben
10 Y. Mallı

Coach: O. Glasner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,86
U ✓
3,85
B
4,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,67
U2,5 ✓
2,20
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.