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Bundesliga

Referee: S Jablonski

M'gladbach

U T U S T

5–2

Full-time

FC Koln

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach FC Koln

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

38%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

2,6

3,0

Scored

1,4

1,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

66% Possession 34%

13 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match M'gladbach 11. · FC Koln 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Union Berlin	8	5	2	1	+9	17
2	Freiburg	8	5	2	1	+6	17
3	Bayern Munich	9	4	4	1	+17	16
4	Dortmund	9	5	1	3	+1	16
5	Werder Bremen	9	4	3	2	+6	15
6	Hoffenheim	9	4	2	3	+4	14
7	Ein Frankfurt	9	4	2	3	+0	14
8	FC Koln	8	3	4	1	+4	13
9	Augsburg	9	4	1	4	-4	13
10	RB Leipzig	9	3	3	3	+1	12
11	M'gladbach	8	3	3	2	+1	12
12	Mainz	9	3	3	3	-4	12
13	Wolfsburg	9	2	3	4	-6	9
14	Leverkusen	9	2	2	5	-3	8
15	Hertha	8	1	4	3	-2	7
16	Schalke 04	9	1	3	5	-11	6
17	Stuttgart	8	0	5	3	-4	5
18	Bochum	9	1	1	7	-15	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	4	3	1	0	+9	10
2	Union Berlin	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Hoffenheim	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	Dortmund	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	M'gladbach	4	3	0	1	+5	9
6	Bayern Munich	4	2	2	0	+6	8
7	FC Koln	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Ein Frankfurt	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Freiburg	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Wolfsburg	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Werder Bremen	4	1	1	2	+2	4
12	Leverkusen	5	1	1	3	-1	4
13	Schalke 04	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Augsburg	5	1	1	3	-6	4
15	Bochum	5	1	1	3	-7	4
16	Hertha	4	0	3	1	-1	3
17	Mainz	4	0	3	1	-3	3
18	Stuttgart	4	0	2	2	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Werder Bremen	5	3	2	0	+4	11
2	Freiburg	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Augsburg	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Mainz	5	3	0	2	-1	9
5	Bayern Munich	5	2	2	1	+11	8
6	Union Berlin	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Ein Frankfurt	4	2	1	1	+0	7
8	FC Koln	4	1	3	0	+2	6
9	Dortmund	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Hertha	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Leverkusen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Wolfsburg	5	1	1	3	-5	4
14	Stuttgart	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	M'gladbach	4	0	3	1	-4	3
16	Schalke 04	5	0	2	3	-7	2
17	RB Leipzig	5	0	2	3	-8	2
18	Bochum	4	0	0	4	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.