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Bundesliga
Referee: D Siebert
Augsburg
T T S S S
1–1
Full-time
Wolfsburg
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
50%
38%
Both score Ø 38%
38%
38%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
18 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 10. · Wolfsburg 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Union Berlin 8 5 2 1 +9 17
2 Freiburg 8 5 2 1 +6 17
3 Bayern Munich 8 4 3 1 +17 15
4 Werder Bremen 9 4 3 2 +6 15
5 Dortmund 8 5 0 3 +1 15
6 Hoffenheim 9 4 2 3 +4 14
7 Ein Frankfurt 8 4 2 2 +3 14
8 FC Koln 8 3 4 1 +4 13
9 M'gladbach 8 3 3 2 +1 12
10 Augsburg 8 4 0 4 -4 12
11 RB Leipzig 8 3 2 3 +1 11
12 Mainz 8 3 2 3 -4 11
13 Wolfsburg 8 2 2 4 -6 8
14 Hertha 8 1 4 3 -2 7
15 Schalke 04 8 1 3 4 -7 6
16 Stuttgart 8 0 5 3 -4 5
17 Leverkusen 8 1 2 5 -7 5
18 Bochum 8 0 1 7 -18 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg Wolfsburg
27′
Y. Gerhardt 0–1
R. Baku
37′
🟨 Yannick Gerhardt
Maximilian Bauer 🟨
38′
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 🟨
40′
Carlos Gruezo 🟨
40′
40′
🟨 Paulo Otávio
Half-time 1–1
1–1 R. Gumny
55′
M. Pedersen 🔁
↦ R. Vargas
66′
69′
🔁 J. Guilavogui
↦ J. Kamiński
75′
🟨 Josuha Guilavogui
75′
🔁 K. Paredes
↦ P. Wimmer
75′
🔁 L. Nmecha
↦ Omar Marmoush
Iago 🟨
84′
D. Caligiuri 🔁
↦ F. Jensen
86′
Daniel Caligiuri 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-1-3-2
40 T. Koubek G
2 R. Gumny D
23 M. Bauer D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
22 Iago D
8 C. Gruezo M
16 R. Vargas M
13 E. Rexhbeçaj M
9 E. Demirović M
7 F. Niederlechner F
24 F. Jensen F
Bench (8)
3 M. Pedersen
20 D. Caligiuri
26 F. Winther
21 L. Petkov
32 R. Framberger
10 A. Maier
25 D. Klein
14 J. Baumgartlinger

Coach: E. Maaßen

Wolfsburg

4-5-1
1 K. Casteels G
20 R. Baku D
4 M. Lacroix D
5 M. van de Ven D
6 Paulo Otávio D
39 P. Wimmer M
22 F. Nmecha M
27 M. Arnold M
31 Y. Gerhardt M
16 J. Kamiński M
33 Omar Marmoush F
Bench (9)
29 J. Guilavogui
40 K. Paredes
10 L. Nmecha
14 J. Brekalo
7 L. Waldschmidt
2 K. Fischer
36 L. Ambros
12 P. Pervan
3 S. Bornauw

Coach: N. Kovač

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,96
U ✓
3,42
B
2,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,92
U2,5 ✓
1,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.