Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Augsburg
Wolfsburg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Union Berlin
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 17 |
| 2 |
Freiburg
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 3 |
Bayern Munich
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +17 | 15 |
| 4 |
Werder Bremen
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 |
Dortmund
|
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 6 |
Hoffenheim
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 |
FC Koln
|
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 9 |
M'gladbach
|
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Augsburg
|
8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 |
RB Leipzig
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 12 |
Mainz
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 |
Wolfsburg
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 |
Hertha
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Schalke 04
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |
Stuttgart
|
8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 |
Leverkusen
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 |
Bochum
|
8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -18 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
R. Gumny
D
M. Bauer
D
J. Gouweleeuw
D
R. Vargas
M
E. Rexhbeçaj
M
E. Demirović
M
F. Jensen
F
Coach: E. Maaßen
R. Baku
D
M. Lacroix
D
M. van de Ven
D
P. Wimmer
M
F. Nmecha
M
M. Arnold
M
Y. Gerhardt
M
J. Kamiński
M
Omar Marmoush
F
Coach: N. Kovač
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Schalke 04
Augsburg
Augsburg
Bayern Munich
Werder Bremen
Augsburg
Augsburg
Hertha
Hoffenheim
Augsburg
D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.