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Bundesliga
Referee: F Badstübner
Stuttgart
S U U T U
1–1
Full-time
Schalke 04
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,8
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
25%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
1,8
3,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%
13 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 12. · Schalke 04 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 5 4 0 1 +4 12
2 Bayern Munich 4 3 1 0 +14 10
3 Union Berlin 4 3 1 0 +8 10
4 Freiburg 4 3 0 1 +4 9
5 Hoffenheim 5 3 0 2 +2 9
6 M'gladbach 4 2 2 0 +3 8
7 Mainz 4 2 1 1 -1 7
8 FC Koln 4 1 3 0 +2 6
9 RB Leipzig 4 1 2 1 +1 5
10 Werder Bremen 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Ein Frankfurt 4 1 2 1 -4 5
12 Stuttgart 4 0 3 1 -1 3
13 Leverkusen 4 1 0 3 -2 3
14 Augsburg 4 1 0 3 -5 3
15 Wolfsburg 4 0 2 2 -4 2
16 Schalke 04 4 0 2 2 -7 2
17 Hertha 4 0 1 3 -4 1
18 Bochum 4 0 0 4 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart Schalke 04
1–0 C. Führich
S. Katompa Mvumpa
18′
21′
S. Terodde 1–1
D. Drexler
28′
🟨 Dominick Drexler
Josha Vagnoman 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Marius Bülter
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 T. Mohr
↦ T. Ouwejan
Borna Sosa 🟨
49′
Tiago Tomás 🔁
↦ L. Egloff
62′
E. Millot 🔁
↦ B. Sosa
63′
65′
🔁 R. Zalazar
↦ J. Larsson
65′
🔁 S. Polter
↦ S. Terodde
Josha Vagnoman 🟨
67′
Josha Vagnoman 🟥
67′
Konstantinos Mavropanos 🟨
73′
74′
🔁 F. Mollet
↦ D. Drexler
P. Stenzel 🔁
↦ C. Führich
76′
S. Guirassy 🔁
↦ S. Katompa Mvumpa
83′
A. Karazor 🔁
↦ N. Ahamada
83′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Stuttgart

3-5-2
1 F. Müller G
5 K. Mavropanos D
2 W. Anton D
21 H. Ito D
4 J. Vagnoman M
22 C. Führich M
3 W. Endo M
32 N. Ahamada M
24 B. Sosa M
14 S. Katompa Mvumpa F
25 L. Egloff F
Bench (9)
10 Tiago Tomás
8 E. Millot
15 P. Stenzel
9 S. Guirassy
16 A. Karazor
37 A. Aidonis
39 T. Kastanaras
11 J. Perea
33 F. Bredlow

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
13 A. Schwolow G
27 C. Brunner D
5 S. van den Berg D
4 M. Yoshida D
2 T. Ouwejan D
17 F. Flick M
6 T. Krauß M
7 J. Larsson M
24 D. Drexler M
11 M. Bülter M
9 S. Terodde F
Bench (9)
29 T. Mohr
10 R. Zalazar
40 S. Polter
20 F. Mollet
3 L. Greiml
1 R. Fährmann
41 H. Matriciani
8 D. Latza
30 A. Král

Coach: F. Kramer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,78
U ✓
4,01
B
4,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,70
U2,5 ✓
2,18
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Badstübner · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.