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Bundesliga
Referee: M Gräfe
Augsburg
S T U U T
2–2
Full-time
Schalke 04
U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
2,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,8
This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 15%
30%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
50%
70%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,2
0,6
Conceded
1,5
3,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
8 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
0 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 12. · Schalke 04 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 11 7 3 1 +18 24
2 RB Leipzig 11 7 3 1 +14 24
3 Leverkusen 10 6 4 0 +10 22
4 Wolfsburg 11 5 6 0 +7 21
5 Dortmund 11 6 1 4 +8 19
6 Union Berlin 11 4 5 2 +8 17
7 Stuttgart 11 4 5 2 +7 17
8 M'gladbach 11 4 5 2 +3 17
9 Ein Frankfurt 11 2 7 2 -3 13
10 Hoffenheim 10 3 3 4 +1 12
11 Hertha 11 3 3 5 -1 12
12 Augsburg 10 3 3 4 -3 12
13 Werder Bremen 11 2 5 4 -5 11
14 Freiburg 11 2 5 4 -8 11
15 FC Koln 11 2 4 5 -4 10
16 Bielefeld 11 2 1 8 -14 7
17 Mainz 11 1 2 8 -13 5
18 Schalke 04 10 0 3 7 -25 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg Schalke 04
20′
🔁 C. Bozdogan
↦ M. Uth
0–1 S. Serdar
own goal
32′
Florian Niederlechner 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Salif Sané
Half-time 0–2
52′
B. Raman 0–2
Florian Niederlechner 🟨
53′
Florian Niederlechner 🟥
53′
M. Richter 🔁
↦ T. Strobl
59′
61′
N. Boujellab 0–3
S. Serdar
64′
🟨 Ozan Kabak
A. Finnbogason 🔁
↦ R. Gumny
71′
M. Gregoritsch 🔁
↦ C. Gruezo
71′
Rani Khedira 🟨
77′
81′
🟨 Ralf Fährmann
82′
🔁 S. Skrzybski
↦ B. Raman
89′
🔁 M. Nastasić
↦ C. Bozdogan
90′
🟨 Steven Skrzybski
1–3 M. Richter
M. Gregoritsch
93′
R. Oxford 🔁
↦ M. Richter
96′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-4-2
1 R. Gikiewicz G
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
32 R. Framberger D
19 F. Uduokhai D
2 R. Gumny D
20 D. Caligiuri M
33 T. Strobl F
25 C. Gruezo M
8 R. Khedira M
16 R. Vargas M
7 F. Niederlechner F
Bench (9)
23 M. Richter
27 A. Finnbogason
11 M. Gregoritsch
36 R. Oxford
35 Cheon Seong-hoon
40 T. Koubek
5 M. Suchý
44 D. Berisha
41 T. Civeja

Coach: H. Herrlich

Schalke 04

4-1-4-1
1 R. Fährmann G
24 B. Oczipka D
17 B. Stambouli D
26 S. Sané D
4 O. Kabak D
6 Omar Mascarell M
28 A. Schöpf M
8 S. Serdar M
16 N. Boujellab M
9 B. Raman M
7 M. Uth F
Bench (9)
40 C. Bozdogan
22 S. Skrzybski
5 M. Nastasić
34 M. Langer
33 M. Thiaw
37 L. Mercan
3 H. Mendyl
43 M. Hoppe
2 K. Ludewig

Coach: M. Baum

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,92
U ✓
3,60
B
3,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,87
U2,5
1,92
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Gräfe · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.