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Bundesliga
Referee: H Osmers
Schalke 04
T U T T T
1–0
Full-time
Augsburg
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
3,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-2,8
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 19%
4%
33%
Points per game
0,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
70%
48%
Both score Ø 49%
41%
56%
Average goals
3,3
2,6
Scored
0,6
1,1
Conceded
2,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
7 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 18. · Augsburg 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 28 20 5 3 +44 65
2 RB Leipzig 28 18 6 4 +29 60
3 Wolfsburg 28 15 9 4 +23 54
4 Ein Frankfurt 28 14 11 3 +19 53
5 Dortmund 28 14 4 10 +17 46
6 Leverkusen 27 12 7 8 +13 43
7 Union Berlin 28 9 13 6 +8 40
8 M'gladbach 28 10 10 8 +5 40
9 Stuttgart 28 10 9 9 +6 39
10 Freiburg 28 10 7 11 -2 37
11 Augsburg 27 9 5 13 -12 32
12 Hoffenheim 27 8 6 13 -6 30
13 Werder Bremen 28 7 9 12 -11 30
14 Hertha 28 6 8 14 -14 26
15 Bielefeld 28 7 5 16 -24 26
16 Mainz 27 6 7 14 -19 25
17 FC Koln 27 5 8 14 -22 23
18 Schalke 04 27 1 7 19 -54 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Augsburg
1–0 S. Serdar
4′
35′
🟨 Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 T. Strobl
↦ R. Khedira
71′
🔁 M. Pedersen
↦ R. Gumny
71′
🔁 F. Niederlechner
↦ D. Caligiuri
74′
🟨 Raphael Framberger
S. Kolašinac 🔁
↦ B. Oczipka
74′
S. Mustafi 🔁
↦ C. Bozdogan
79′
79′
🔁 M. Gregoritsch
↦ R. Vargas
79′
🔁 L. Bénes
↦ A. Hahn
M. Hoppe 🔁
↦ K. Huntelaar
84′
Gonçalo Paciência 🔁
↦ A. Harit
84′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Schalke 04

3-5-2
1 R. Fährmann G
24 B. Oczipka M
17 B. Stambouli D
31 T. Becker D
33 M. Thiaw D
6 Omar Mascarell M
8 S. Serdar M
25 A. Harit F
40 C. Bozdogan M
38 M. Aydin M
21 K. Huntelaar F
Bench (9)
20 S. Kolašinac
30 S. Mustafi
43 M. Hoppe
18 Gonçalo Paciência
23 F. Rønnow
26 S. Sané
42 K. Çalhanoğlu
28 A. Schöpf
13 William

Coach: D. Grammozis

Augsburg

4-2-2-2
1 R. Gikiewicz G
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
32 R. Framberger D
19 F. Uduokhai D
2 R. Gumny D
20 D. Caligiuri M
28 A. Hahn F
25 C. Gruezo M
8 R. Khedira M
23 M. Richter F
16 R. Vargas M
Bench (9)
33 T. Strobl
3 M. Pedersen
7 F. Niederlechner
11 M. Gregoritsch
18 L. Bénes
5 M. Suchý
36 R. Oxford
17 N. Sarenren Bazee
40 T. Koubek

Coach: H. Herrlich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,22
U
3,34
B
2,29
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,22
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

H Osmers · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.