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Bundesliga
Referee: F Zwayer
RB Leipzig
S U T S T
2–2
Full-time
Wolfsburg
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 56%
59%
53%
Points per game
2,0
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
53%
53%
Both score Ø 49%
47%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
0,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

64% Possession 36%
14 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match RB Leipzig 2. · Wolfsburg 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 33 23 6 4 +52 75
2 RB Leipzig 32 19 7 6 +29 64
3 Dortmund 33 19 4 10 +27 61
4 Wolfsburg 32 17 9 6 +25 60
5 Ein Frankfurt 33 15 12 6 +14 57
6 Leverkusen 33 14 10 9 +16 52
7 Union Berlin 33 11 14 8 +6 47
8 M'gladbach 33 12 10 11 +6 46
9 Stuttgart 33 12 9 12 +3 45
10 Freiburg 33 12 9 12 +2 45
11 Hoffenheim 33 10 10 13 -3 40
12 Augsburg 33 10 6 17 -15 36
13 Mainz 33 9 9 15 -18 36
14 Hertha 33 8 11 14 -10 35
15 Bielefeld 33 8 8 17 -28 32
16 Werder Bremen 33 7 10 16 -19 31
17 FC Koln 33 7 9 17 -27 30
18 Schalke 04 33 3 7 23 -60 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

RB Leipzig Wolfsburg
12′
M. Philipp 0–1
M. Arnold
Benjamin Henrichs 🟨
20′
Ibrahima Konaté 🟨
36′
Marcel Sabitzer 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–2
46′
M. Philipp 0–2
R. Baku
Angeliño 🔁
↦ B. Henrichs
46′
A. Haidara 🔁
↦ K. Laimer
46′
1–2 J. Kluivert
M. Sabitzer
51′
52′
🟨 Kevin Mbabu
60′
🟨 Maximilian Arnold
D. Upamecano 🔁
↦ I. Konaté
63′
Hwang Hee-Chan 🔁
↦ J. Kluivert
70′
Amadou Haidara ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
76′
2–2 M. Sabitzer
78′
79′
🔁 J. Guilavogui
↦ M. Philipp
86′
🟨 Ridle Baku
K. Kampl 🔁
↦ E. Forsberg
87′
90′
🔁 J. Roussillon
↦ R. Baku
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

RB Leipzig

3-5-2
1 Péter Gulácsi G
16 Lukas Klostermann D
6 Ibrahima Konaté D
4 Willi Orbán D
27 Konrad Laimer M
18 Christopher Nkunku M
7 Marcel Sabitzer M
10 Emil Forsberg M
39 Benjamin Henrichs M
9 Yussuf Poulsen F
21 Justin Kluivert F
Bench (9)
33 Josep Martínez
5 Dayot Upamecano
22 Nordi Mukiele
8 Amadou Haidara
44 Kevin Kampl
3 Angeliño
11 Hee-Chan Hwang
19 Alexander Sørloth
37 Lars Sidney Raebiger

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 Koen Casteels G
19 Kevin Mbabu D
4 Maxence Lacroix D
25 John Brooks D
6 Paulo Otávio D
24 Xaver Schlager M
27 Maximilian Arnold M
20 Ridle Baku M
17 Maximilian Philipp M
31 Yannick Gerhardt M
9 Wout Weghorst F
Bench (9)
12 Pavao Pervan
5 Jeffrey Bruma
34 Marin Pongračić
15 Jérôme Roussillon
39 Tim Siersleben
23 Josuha Guilavogui
40 Victor Sá
14 Admir Mehmedi
33 Daniel Ginczek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,21
U ✓
3,44
B
3,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,13
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.