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Bundesliga

Referee: D Aytekin

Union Berlin

S S S S U

2–1

Full-time

RB Leipzig

T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin RB Leipzig

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

26% Possession 74%

9 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 10

1 Corners 13

5 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Union Berlin 9. · RB Leipzig 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Mainz	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Freiburg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Hoffenheim	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Dortmund	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Werder Bremen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	FC Koln	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Union Berlin	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Augsburg	3	1	0	2	-4	3
11	RB Leipzig	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Stuttgart	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Schalke 04	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Wolfsburg	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Hertha	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	1	1	-5	1
17	Bochum	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Leverkusen	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Wolfsburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Schalke 04	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	RB Leipzig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Mainz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Stuttgart	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Leverkusen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Augsburg	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Freiburg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Mainz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Werder Bremen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Stuttgart	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	FC Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	RB Leipzig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Schalke 04	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Wolfsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Hertha	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.