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Bundesliga
Referee: Bastian Dankert
Hertha
T U T S U
0–1
Full-time
Wolfsburg
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 40%
37%
42%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
63%
68%
Both score Ø 61%
63%
58%
Average goals
3,2
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 7. · Wolfsburg 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 19 15 3 1 +31 48
2 Bayern Munich 19 13 3 3 +23 42
3 M'gladbach 19 12 3 4 +21 39
4 RB Leipzig 20 11 4 5 +20 37
5 Ein Frankfurt 19 9 4 6 +13 31
6 Hoffenheim 19 7 7 5 +9 28
7 Hertha 19 7 7 5 +1 28
8 Wolfsburg 19 8 4 7 +1 28
9 Leverkusen 19 8 3 8 -1 27
10 Mainz 19 7 6 6 -3 27
11 Werder Bremen 19 7 5 7 +0 26
12 Schalke 04 19 6 4 9 -3 22
13 Freiburg 19 5 6 8 -8 21
14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 19 6 3 10 -17 21
15 Augsburg 19 3 6 10 -7 15
16 Stuttgart 19 4 2 13 -27 14
17 Hannover 20 2 5 13 -26 11
18 Nurnberg 19 2 5 12 -27 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Wolfsburg
Half-time 0–0
53′
🟨 Renato Steffen
65′
W. Weghorst 0–1
J. Roussillon
S. Kalou 🔁
↦ V. Ibišević
66′
66′
🔁 J. Brekalo
↦ R. Steffen
M. Mittelstädt 🔁
↦ M. Plattenhardt
67′
V. Darida 🔁
↦ A. Maier
71′
Valentino Lazaro 🟨
77′
86′
🔁 William
↦ Y. Mallı
Vladimír Darida 🟨
88′
Davie Selke 🟨
90′
92′
🔁 F. Uduokhai
↦ E. Rexhbecaj
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hertha

3-4-1-2
22 R. Jarstein G
21 M. Plattenhardt D
4 K. Rekik D
5 N. Stark D
28 F. Lustenberger M
20 V. Lazaro M
10 O. Duda M
15 M. Grujić M
23 A. Maier M
19 V. Ibišević F
27 D. Selke F
Bench (7)
8 S. Kalou
17 M. Mittelstädt
6 V. Darida
1 T. Kraft
3 P. Skjelbred
14 P. Köpke
25 J. Torunarigha

Coach: P. Dárdai

Wolfsburg

4-3-1-2
1 K. Casteels G
3 P. Verhaegh D
31 R. Knoche D
15 J. Roussillon D
25 J. Brooks D
13 Y. Gerhardt M
10 Y. Mallı M
27 M. Arnold M
8 R. Steffen M
37 E. Rexhbecaj M
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (7)
7 J. Brekalo
2 William
17 F. Uduokhai
12 P. Pervan
29 J. Zamora
32 M. Tisserand
35 G. Itter

Coach: B. Labbadia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bastian Dankert · 75 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.