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Bundesliga
Referee: S Storks
Freiburg
U S T S S
1–1
Full-time
Wolfsburg
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
5,0
0,0
Scored
3,0
0,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
21 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Freiburg 10. · Wolfsburg 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hoffenheim 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Augsburg 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Ein Frankfurt 2 1 1 0 +2 4
4 RB Leipzig 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Bielefeld 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Bayern Munich 2 1 0 1 +5 3
7 Stuttgart 2 1 0 1 +2 3
8 Hertha 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Dortmund 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Werder Bremen 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Leverkusen 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Wolfsburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Union Berlin 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 M'gladbach 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 FC Koln 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Mainz 2 0 0 2 -5 0
18 Schalke 04 2 0 0 2 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Freiburg Wolfsburg
1–0 N. Petersen
V. Grifo
11′
32′
🟨 Paulo Otávio
33′
🟨 Maximilian Arnold
34′
🟨 John Brooks
42′
J. Brekalo 1–1
Half-time 1–1
49′
🔁 R. Steffen
↦ João Victor
58′
🔁 X. Schlager
↦ M. Arnold
58′
🔁 A. Mehmedi
↦ Y. Mallı
77′
🔁 J. Roussillon
↦ Paulo Otávio
77′
🔁 W. Weghorst
↦ D. Ginczek
Jeong Woo-Yeong 🔁
↦ V. Grifo
78′
Kwon Chang-Hoon 🔁
↦ R. Sallai
78′
E. Demirović 🔁
↦ N. Petersen
88′
M. Gulde 🔁
↦ D. Heintz
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Freiburg

4-2-2-2
21 F. Müller G
23 D. Heintz D
30 C. Günter D
3 P. Lienhart D
27 N. Höfler M
7 J. Schmid D
32 V. Grifo M
8 B. Santamaría M
22 R. Sallai M
18 N. Petersen F
9 L. Höler F
Bench (9)
29 Jeong Woo-Yeong
28 Kwon Chang-Hoon
11 E. Demirović
5 M. Gulde
1 B. Uphoff
24 G. Itter
6 A. Abrashi
17 L. Kübler
39 C. Boukhalfa

Coach: C. Streich

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
12 P. Pervan G
25 J. Brooks D
6 Paulo Otávio D
23 J. Guilavogui D
10 Y. Mallı M
11 F. Klaus D
27 M. Arnold M
31 Y. Gerhardt M
7 J. Brekalo M
40 João Victor M
33 D. Ginczek F
Bench (9)
8 R. Steffen
24 X. Schlager
14 A. Mehmedi
15 J. Roussillon
9 W. Weghorst
29 O. Marmoush
4 M. Lacroix
21 B. Białek
35 L. Kasten

Coach: O. Glasner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,06
U ✓
3,45
B
2,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Storks · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.