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Bundesliga
Referee: M Schmidt
Wolfsburg
T S U T T
1–2
Full-time
Hertha
U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 31%
33%
28%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
33%
72%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
20 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 9. · Hertha 14. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 18 12 4 2 +30 40
2 Bayern Munich 18 11 3 4 +28 36
3 Dortmund 19 10 6 3 +23 36
4 M'gladbach 18 11 2 5 +13 35
5 Schalke 04 18 9 6 3 +10 33
6 Leverkusen 18 9 4 5 +5 31
7 Freiburg 18 8 5 5 +5 29
8 Hoffenheim 18 8 3 7 -4 27
9 Wolfsburg 18 6 6 6 -2 24
10 Augsburg 18 6 5 7 -5 23
11 Ein Frankfurt 18 6 3 9 -1 21
12 Union Berlin 18 6 2 10 -6 20
13 FC Koln 19 6 2 11 -15 20
14 Hertha 18 5 4 9 -11 19
15 Mainz 18 6 0 12 -15 18
16 Werder Bremen 18 4 5 9 -17 17
17 Fortuna Dusseldorf 18 4 3 11 -19 15
18 Paderborn 18 3 3 12 -19 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Aug -19 Hertha – Wolfsburg 0–3 2. Feb -19 Hertha – Wolfsburg 0–1 15. Sep -18 Wolfsburg – Hertha 2–2 31. Mar -18 Hertha – Wolfsburg 0–0 5. Nov -17 Wolfsburg – Hertha 3–3

Match report

Wolfsburg Hertha
37′
🟨 Jordan Torunarigha
Half-time 0–0
A. Mehmedi 🔁
↦ J. Brekalo
63′
1–0 A. Mehmedi ⚽
M. Tisserand
68′
74′
⚽ J. Torunarigha 1–1
M. Mittelstädt
76′
🔁 A. Esswein
↦ J. Dilrosun
João Victor 🔁
↦ R. Steffen
82′
D. Ginczek 🔁
↦ M. Arnold
89′
90′
⚽ D. Lukébakio 1–2
L. Klünter
92′
🔁 D. Selke
↦ D. Lukébakio
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-3-3
1 K. Casteels G
31 R. Knoche D
15 J. Roussillon D
32 M. Tisserand D
19 K. Mbabu D
23 J. Guilavogui M
27 M. Arnold M
8 R. Steffen F
24 X. Schlager M
7 J. Brekalo F
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (9)
14 A. Mehmedi
40 João Victor
33 D. Ginczek
25 J. Brooks
6 Paulo Otávio
13 Y. Gerhardt
11 F. Klaus
2 William
12 P. Pervan

Coach: O. Glasner

Hertha

4-1-4-1
22 R. Jarstein G
5 N. Stark D
13 L. Klünter D
25 J. Torunarigha D
17 M. Mittelstädt D
3 P. Skjelbred M
15 M. Grujić M
18 S. Ascacíbar M
30 M. Wolf M
28 D. Lukébakio F
16 J. Dilrosun M
Bench (8)
9 A. Esswein
27 D. Selke
19 V. Ibišević
11 M. Leckie
21 M. Plattenhardt
2 P. Pekarík
14 P. Köpke
1 T. Kraft

Coach: J. Klinsmann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,77
🔒
U
3,80
🔒
B ✓
4,56
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,89
🔒
U2,5
1,91
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Schmidt · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.