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Super League

Referee: F San

Zurich

S U T T U

3–4

Full-time

Basel

U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Basel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 40%

35%

45%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

70%

55%

Both score Ø 65%

70%

60%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

4,43 xG 3,31

48% Possession 52%

17 Shots 24

12 Shots on target 13

2 Blocked shots 2

8 Goalkeeper saves 8

10 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zurich 8. · Basel 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	21	15	1	5	+21	+1.3	46
2	Lugano	21	12	3	6	+11	+0.1	39
3	St. Gallen	19	12	1	6	+16	+4.2	37
4	Basel	20	9	6	5	+8	+12.3	33
5	Sion	21	8	8	5	+6	+4.2	32
6	Young Boys	21	8	5	8	-5	-1.1	29
7	Lausanne	21	7	7	7	+3	+6.7	28
8	Zurich	20	7	4	9	-7	+2.2	25
9	Luzern	21	5	7	9	-3	-3.8	22
10	Servette	20	5	6	9	-7	+2.1	21
11	Grasshoppers	21	4	6	11	-11	-12.9	18
12	Winterthur	20	2	4	14	-32	-15.4	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	11	7	2	2	+11	+2.2	23
2	Thun	11	7	1	3	+10	-1.0	22
3	St. Gallen	10	6	0	4	+9	+6.6	18
4	Sion	11	5	3	3	+6	+1.1	18
5	Young Boys	10	5	2	3	+6	+5.7	17
6	Basel	10	4	4	2	+7	+14.0	16
7	Lausanne	11	4	3	4	+3	+8.0	15
8	Zurich	10	4	1	5	-3	+3.9	13
9	Servette	10	2	4	4	-3	+0.8	10
10	Grasshoppers	10	2	3	5	-1	-4.0	9
11	Luzern	10	1	4	5	-2	+2.6	7
12	Winterthur	9	1	2	6	-8	-3.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	10	8	0	2	+11	+2.3	24
2	St. Gallen	9	6	1	2	+7	-2.3	19
3	Basel	10	5	2	3	+1	-1.7	17
4	Lugano	10	5	1	4	+0	-2.1	16
5	Luzern	11	4	3	4	-1	-6.4	15
6	Sion	10	3	5	2	+0	+3.1	14
7	Lausanne	10	3	4	3	+0	-1.4	13
8	Zurich	10	3	3	4	-4	-1.6	12
9	Young Boys	11	3	3	5	-11	-6.9	12
10	Servette	10	3	2	5	-4	+1.4	11
11	Grasshoppers	11	2	3	6	-10	-8.8	9
12	Winterthur	11	1	2	8	-24	-11.8	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.