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Super League

Referee: U Schnyder

Basel

U T S T T

2–1

Full-time

Zurich

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Zurich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,8

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 39%

45%

32%

Points per game

1,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

59%

73%

Both score Ø 66%

64%

68%

Average goals

2,7

3,4

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,53 xG 0,39

60% Possession 40%

12 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Basel 4. · Zurich 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	23	17	1	5	+24	-0.2	52
2	Lugano	23	12	5	6	+11	+1.2	41
3	St. Gallen	21	12	2	7	+14	+3.8	38
4	Basel	22	10	6	6	+8	+12.2	36
5	Sion	23	8	10	5	+6	+4.2	34
6	Young Boys	23	9	6	8	-2	-0.7	33
7	Lausanne	22	7	7	8	+2	+5.5	28
8	Servette	23	6	7	10	-7	+3.8	25
9	Zurich	22	7	4	11	-11	+2.6	25
10	Luzern	23	5	9	9	-3	-4.6	24
11	Grasshoppers	23	4	8	11	-11	-13.6	20
12	Winterthur	22	3	5	14	-31	-14.1	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	11	7	2	2	+11	+2.2	23
2	Thun	11	7	1	3	+10	-1.0	22
3	Young Boys	11	6	2	3	+9	+6.5	20
4	Sion	12	5	4	3	+6	+1.1	19
5	St. Gallen	11	6	0	5	+7	+5.4	18
6	Basel	11	4	4	3	+6	+15.0	16
7	Lausanne	11	4	3	4	+3	+8.0	15
8	Zurich	11	4	1	6	-4	+5.0	13
9	Grasshoppers	12	2	5	5	-1	-4.8	11
10	Servette	12	2	5	5	-5	+1.3	11
11	Winterthur	11	2	3	6	-7	-2.3	9
12	Luzern	11	1	5	5	-2	+1.8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	12	10	0	2	+14	+0.8	30
2	St. Gallen	10	6	2	2	+7	-1.6	20
3	Basel	11	6	2	3	+2	-2.8	20
4	Lugano	12	5	3	4	+0	-1.0	18
5	Luzern	12	4	4	4	-1	-6.4	16
6	Sion	11	3	6	2	+0	+3.1	15
7	Servette	11	4	2	5	-2	+2.5	14
8	Lausanne	11	3	4	4	-1	-2.6	13
9	Young Boys	12	3	4	5	-11	-7.2	13
10	Zurich	11	3	3	5	-7	-2.4	12
11	Grasshoppers	11	2	3	6	-10	-8.8	9
12	Winterthur	11	1	2	8	-24	-11.8	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.