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Super League

Referee: L Cibelli

Basel

S S U T T

1–0

Full-time

Young Boys

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Young Boys

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 26%

38%

13%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 57%

38%

75%

Average goals

3,0

3,4

Scored

1,9

1,4

Conceded

1,1

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,03 xG 0,89

60% Possession 40%

15 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Basel 7. · Young Boys 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Luzern	9	5	3	1	+6	+2.1	18
2	Zurich	9	5	3	1	+6	+0.4	18
3	Lugano	9	5	3	1	+5	+0.9	18
4	Servette	8	5	1	2	-2	-2.9	16
5	St. Gallen	8	4	1	3	+6	-0.1	13
6	Sion	9	3	3	3	+3	+6.0	12
7	Basel	8	3	1	4	+6	+2.3	10
8	Yverdon	9	2	3	4	-5	-5.9	9
9	Grasshoppers	9	2	2	5	-4	+2.8	8
10	Lausanne	9	2	2	5	-6	+3.3	8
11	Winterthur	9	2	1	6	-10	-6.1	7
12	Young Boys	8	1	3	4	-5	-2.7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	5	3	2	0	+5	-0.9	11
2	Luzern	5	3	1	1	+4	+3.0	10
3	Lugano	5	3	1	1	+3	+2.6	10
4	St. Gallen	4	3	0	1	+7	+1.0	9
5	Sion	5	2	3	0	+6	+7.5	9
6	Servette	4	3	0	1	-2	-2.0	9
7	Yverdon	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.9	7
8	Winterthur	5	2	1	2	-2	-1.6	7
9	Lausanne	4	2	0	2	+1	+3.2	6
10	Grasshoppers	4	1	2	1	-1	+3.2	5
11	Basel	3	1	0	2	-1	+2.3	3
12	Young Boys	4	0	2	2	-2	-4.3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Luzern	4	2	2	0	+2	-0.9	8
2	Lugano	4	2	2	0	+2	-1.8	8
3	Basel	5	2	1	2	+7	-0.0	7
4	Zurich	4	2	1	1	+1	+1.3	7
5	Servette	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.9	7
6	St. Gallen	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.2	4
7	Young Boys	4	1	1	2	-3	+1.6	4
8	Sion	4	1	0	3	-3	-1.5	3
9	Grasshoppers	5	1	0	4	-3	-0.4	3
10	Yverdon	5	0	2	3	-5	-5.0	2
11	Lausanne	5	0	2	3	-7	+0.0	2
12	Winterthur	4	0	0	4	-8	-4.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.