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Europa League
Referee: Manfredas Lukjancukas
Lyon
S S S T T
2–0
Full-time
Basel
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,47 xG 1,19
61% Possession 39%
18 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lyon Basel
1–0 C. Tolisso ⚽
M. de Carvalho
3′
Half-time 1–0
T. Morton 🔁
↦ T. Tessmann
46′
46′
🔁 K. Koindredi
↦ Metinho
46′
🔁 K. Ruegg
↦ N. Vouilloz
48′
🟨 Nicolas Vouilloz
61′
🔁 I. Salah
↦ P. Otele
A. Karabec 🔁
↦ M. Fofana
72′
R. Kluivert 🔁
↦ A. Maitland-Niles
72′
72′
🔁 B. Traore
↦ M. Soticek
P. Sulc 🔁
↦ C. Tolisso
79′
A. Moreira 🔁
↦ K. Merah
79′
84′
🔁 M. Broschinski
↦ X. Shaqiri
Moussa Niakhaté 🟨
88′
2–0 A. Moreira ⚽
P. Sulc
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lyon

4-2-3-1
1 D. Greif G
98 A. Maitland-Niles D
22 Clinton Mata D
19 M. Niakhate D
16 Abner Vinicius D
6 T. Tessmann M
39 M. de Carvalho M
44 K. Merah M
8 C. Tolisso M
11 M. Fofana M
20 M. Satriano F
Bench (10)
50 L. Diarra
62 Y. Konan
3 N. Tagliafico
7 A. Karabec
10 P. Sulc
17 A. Moreira
21 R. Kluivert
23 T. Morton
29 E. Molebe
32 A. Gomes

Coach: Jorge Miguel Gonçalves Maciel

Basel

4-4-1-1
1 M. Hitz G
3 N. Vouilloz D
26 A. Barisic D
24 F. Daniliuc D
31 D. Schmid D
19 M. Soticek M
5 Metinho M
22 L. Leroy M
7 P. Otele M
10 X. Shaqiri F
23 A. Ajeti F
Bench (12)
13 M. Salvi
16 T. Spycher
8 K. Koindredi
9 J. Agbonifo
11 B. Traore
14 A. Bacanin
17 M. Broschinski
21 I. Salah
27 K. Ruegg
29 M. Cisse
32 J. Adjetey
39 Junior Ze

Coach: Ludovic Magnin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.