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Super League

Referee: Lionel Tschudi

Lausanne

U S S U S

5–1

Full-time

Basel

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne Basel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 45%

22%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

78%

89%

Both score Ø 73%

78%

67%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,7

2,1

Conceded

1,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

4,63 xG 1,94

38% Possession 62%

22 Shots 12

12 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 3

0 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lausanne 9. · Basel 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	10	7	1	2	+7	-1.8	22
2	St. Gallen	10	7	0	3	+13	+2.9	21
3	Basel	9	6	0	3	+9	+10.3	18
4	Young Boys	10	5	2	3	-1	-3.0	17
5	Sion	10	4	3	3	+3	+3.3	15
6	Luzern	10	3	5	2	+1	-3.1	14
7	Lugano	9	4	1	4	-2	+3.7	13
8	Zurich	10	4	1	5	-4	+3.3	13
9	Lausanne	9	2	3	4	+1	+2.0	9
10	Grasshoppers	10	2	3	5	-4	-8.5	9
11	Servette	9	2	2	5	-5	+0.7	8
12	Winterthur	10	0	3	7	-18	-9.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	6	4	0	2	+10	+4.1	12
2	Young Boys	5	3	1	1	+5	+3.2	10
3	Lugano	5	3	1	1	+3	+2.3	10
4	Basel	4	3	0	1	+6	+10.0	9
5	Grasshoppers	5	2	1	2	+3	-1.7	7
6	Thun	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.4	7
7	Lausanne	4	2	0	2	+4	+2.9	6
8	Zurich	5	2	0	3	-3	+3.4	6
9	Servette	5	1	2	2	-2	+0.6	5
10	Sion	5	1	1	3	+0	-0.2	4
11	Luzern	5	0	3	2	-2	+0.8	3
12	Winterthur	5	0	2	3	-5	-1.7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	6	5	0	1	+6	+0.6	15
2	Sion	5	3	2	0	+3	+3.5	11
3	Luzern	5	3	2	0	+3	-3.9	11
4	Basel	5	3	0	2	+3	+0.3	9
5	St. Gallen	4	3	0	1	+3	-1.2	9
6	Zurich	5	2	1	2	-1	-0.1	7
7	Young Boys	5	2	1	2	-6	-6.3	7
8	Lausanne	5	0	3	2	-3	-1.0	3
9	Servette	4	1	0	3	-3	+0.1	3
10	Lugano	4	1	0	3	-5	+1.5	3
11	Grasshoppers	5	0	2	3	-7	-6.8	2
12	Winterthur	5	0	1	4	-13	-8.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.