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Super League

Referee: Lionel Tschudi

St. Gallen

S T S S S

0–1

Full-time

Luzern

T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,7

4,0

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

1,2

2,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

4,3

3,3

Scored

3,7

1,7

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,74 xG 1,31

47% Possession 53%

21 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

20 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Gallen 2. · Luzern 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	4	4	0	0	+7	-0.9	12
2	St. Gallen	3	3	0	0	+9	+4.2	9
3	Sion	3	2	1	0	+5	-0.1	7
4	Basel	4	2	0	2	+1	+4.8	6
5	Young Boys	4	1	2	1	-1	-1.5	5
6	Luzern	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.9	4
7	Zurich	4	1	1	2	-4	-1.4	4
8	Lausanne	3	1	0	2	-1	+4.3	3
9	Lugano	3	1	0	2	-3	+0.8	3
10	Grasshoppers	4	0	2	2	-2	-3.9	2
11	Winterthur	4	0	2	2	-6	-4.0	2
12	Servette	3	0	1	2	-5	-3.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	2	2	0	0	+6	+1.9	6
2	Basel	2	2	0	0	+4	+5.3	6
3	Young Boys	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.0	4
4	Sion	1	1	0	0	+4	-0.5	3
5	Lugano	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.3	3
6	Thun	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.7	3
7	Lausanne	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.7	3
8	Winterthur	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
9	Grasshoppers	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.5	1
10	Luzern	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
11	Servette	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.2	1
12	Zurich	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.8	9
2	Zurich	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.7	4
3	Sion	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
4	St. Gallen	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.3	3
5	Luzern	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
6	Grasshoppers	2	0	1	1	-1	-3.4	1
7	Young Boys	2	0	1	1	-3	-3.6	1
8	Winterthur	3	0	1	2	-6	-4.5	1
9	Lausanne	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.7	0
10	Servette	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0
11	Basel	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.5	0
12	Lugano	1	0	0	1	-4	+0.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.