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Super League
Referee: S Wolfensberger
St. Gallen
S S U T S
1–2
Full-time
Zurich
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Zurich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 42%
43%
41%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
51%
51%
Both score Ø 54%
59%
49%
Average goals
2,9
2,5
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,69 xG 1,42
49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gallen 5. · Zurich 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Young Boys 37 22 8 7 +39 +6.5 74
2 Lugano 37 20 5 12 +18 +11.8 65
3 Servette 37 17 10 10 +14 +28.3 61
4 Zurich 37 15 12 10 +11 -0.4 57
5 St. Gallen 37 16 9 12 +10 +13.8 57
6 Luzern 38 13 10 15 -6 +1.3 49
7 Basel 38 13 10 15 -7 -1.6 49
8 Winterthur 37 13 10 14 -8 -7.2 49
9 Yverdon 38 13 8 17 -21 -19.8 47
10 Lausanne 38 11 12 15 -5 +5.6 45
11 Grasshoppers 38 10 8 20 -8 -13.1 38
12 Lausanne Ouchy 38 7 8 23 -37 -25.3 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gallen Zurich
1–0 C. Akolo
C. Witzig
16′
24′
N. Reichmuth 1–1
A. Marchesano
Chadrac Akolo 🟨
26′
44′
A. Marchesano 1–2
Half-time 1–2
W. Geubbels 🔁
↦ B. Toma
46′
47′
🟨 Nils Reichmuth
Albert Vallci 🟨
48′
M. Stevanović 🔁
↦ L. Görtler
52′
56′
🔁 S. Hodža
↦ N. Reichmuth
F. Schubert 🔁
↦ J. Milošević
63′
71′
🔁 J. Sabobo
↦ J. Okita
J. Stanić 🔁
↦ I. Schmidt
78′
F. Mambimbi 🔁
↦ C. Akolo
78′
79′
🟨 Mirlind Kryeziu
84′
🟨 Daniel Afriyie
Christian Witzig 🟨
85′
89′
🔁 F. Daprelà
↦ Adrián Guerrero
89′
🔁 I. Santini
↦ D. Afriyie
89′
🔁 C. Tsawa
↦ A. Marchesano
Jozo Stanić 🟨
98′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

St. Gallen

4-3-1-2
1 L. Zigi G
46 M. Zanotti D
20 A. Vallci D
36 C. Okoroji D
33 I. Schmidt D
16 L. Görtler M
8 Jordi Quintillà M
37 C. Witzig M
24 B. Toma M
10 C. Akolo F
90 J. Milošević F
Bench (9)
9 W. Geubbels
64 M. Stevanović
7 F. Schubert
4 J. Stanić
18 F. Mambimbi
30 Víctor Ruiz
6 P. Sutter
5 J. Janitzek
25 L. Watkowiak

Coach: P. Zeidler

Zurich

4-3-1-2
25 Y. Brecher G
19 N. Boranijašević D
2 L. Kamberi D
31 M. Kryeziu D
3 Adrián Guerrero D
37 N. Reichmuth M
17 C. Conde M
7 B. Krasniqi M
10 A. Marchesano M
11 J. Okita F
18 D. Afriyie F
Bench (9)
32 S. Hodža
33 J. Sabobo
5 F. Daprelà
9 I. Santini
36 C. Tsawa
38 D. Munroe
29 L. Bajrami
16 M. Hornschuh
1 Ž. Kostadinović

Coach: R. Moniz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Wolfensberger · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.