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Super League
Referee: D Grundbacher
St. Gallen
U S U T U
3–2
Full-time
Zurich
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Zurich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 38%
33%
42%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
44%
58%
Both score Ø 61%
64%
58%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

3,45 xG 2,46
43% Possession 57%
13 Shots 19
7 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 21
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gallen 8. · Zurich 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Basel 36 21 7 8 +48 +22.4 70
2 Servette 36 16 11 9 +8 -0.7 59
3 Young Boys 36 16 9 11 +7 +8.2 57
4 Zurich 36 15 8 13 +1 -1.2 53
5 Luzern 36 14 10 12 +7 +9.5 52
6 Lugano 36 15 7 14 -3 +7.9 52
7 Lausanne 36 14 9 13 +8 +10.1 51
8 St. Gallen 36 12 13 11 +0 -4.7 49
9 Sion 36 10 11 15 -9 -0.1 41
10 Grasshoppers 36 8 12 16 -11 -12.6 36
11 Winterthur 36 10 6 20 -27 -23.1 36
12 Yverdon 36 8 11 17 -29 -15.8 35

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gallen Zurich
1–0 L. Daschner
A. Vallci
8′
31′
S. Zuber 1–1
Lukas Daschner 🟨
32′
Mihailo Stevanović ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
41′
2–1 W. Geubbels
42′
Half-time 2–1
C. Akolo 🔁
↦ W. Geubbels
46′
46′
🔁 S. Ballet
↦ U. Emmanuel
49′
🟨 Cheveyo Tsawa
3–1 H. Vandermersch
F. Mambimbi
49′
Jozo Stanić 🟨
52′
Chadrac Akolo
penalty missed
55′
Felix Mambimbi 🟨
55′
57′
🔁 M. Bangoura
↦ C. Tsawa
58′
S. Ballet 3–2
M. Chouiar
B. Toma 🔁
↦ C. Konietzke
69′
J. Nsame 🔁
↦ F. Mambimbi
75′
K. Csoboth 🔁
↦ K. Faber
75′
N. Yannick 🔁
↦ C. May
78′
Chadrac Akolo 🟨
91′
92′
🟨 Junior Ligue
92′
🔁 D. Reverson
↦ B. Krasniqi
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

St. Gallen

3-4-1-2
1 L. Zigi G
72 C. May D
4 J. Stanić D
20 A. Vallci D
28 H. Vandermersch M
64 M. Stevanović M
19 L. Daschner M
22 K. Faber M
63 C. Konietzke F
18 F. Mambimbi F
9 W. Geubbels F
Bench (9)
10 C. Akolo
24 B. Toma
33 J. Nsame
77 K. Csoboth
14 N. Yannick
8 Jordi Quintillà
11 M. Cisse
73 L. Ibraimov
25 L. Watkowiak

Coach: E. Maaßen

Zurich

4-3-3
25 Y. Brecher G
2 L. Kamberi D
5 M. Gómez D
4 J. Gbamin D
20 C. Ligue D
17 S. Zuber M
6 C. Tsawa M
7 B. Krasniqi M
26 J. Markelo F
11 U. Emmanuel F
23 M. Chouiar F
Bench (9)
8 S. Ballet
13 M. Bangoura
29 D. Reverson
48 M. Rizzo
27 Rodrigo Conceição
28 S. Huber
42 A. Martins
44 A. Tchamda
22 A. Oko-Flex

Coach: R. Moniz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Grundbacher · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.