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Super League
Referee: S Schärer
Zurich
U U T U T
0–2
Full-time
St. Gallen
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich St. Gallen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 35%
41%
29%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
41%
53%
Both score Ø 65%
59%
71%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
14 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
3 Offside 6
18 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zurich 6. · St. Gallen 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lugano 17 9 4 4 +9 +2.5 31
2 Basel 18 9 3 6 +21 +13.3 30
3 Luzern 18 8 5 5 +3 +1.8 29
4 Servette 18 8 5 5 +2 -2.0 29
5 Lausanne 17 8 3 6 +6 +9.4 27
6 Zurich 17 7 6 4 +1 -2.8 27
7 Sion 18 7 5 6 +4 +6.5 26
8 Young Boys 18 6 5 7 -4 +3.5 23
9 St. Gallen 17 5 7 5 +4 -5.0 22
10 Yverdon 18 4 5 9 -12 -11.0 17
11 Grasshoppers 18 3 6 9 -10 -2.6 15
12 Winterthur 18 3 4 11 -24 -13.4 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Schärer · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.