Super League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Zurich
St. Gallen
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lugano
|
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | +9 | +2.5 | 31 |
| 2 |
Basel
|
18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +21 | +13.3 | 30 |
| 3 |
Luzern
|
18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +3 | +1.8 | 29 |
| 4 |
Servette
|
18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +2 | -2.0 | 29 |
| 5 |
Lausanne
|
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | +6 | +9.4 | 27 |
| 6 |
Zurich
|
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | +1 | -2.8 | 27 |
| 7 |
Sion
|
18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +4 | +6.5 | 26 |
| 8 |
Young Boys
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -4 | +3.5 | 23 |
| 9 |
St. Gallen
|
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | +4 | -5.0 | 22 |
| 10 |
Yverdon
|
18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -12 | -11.0 | 17 |
| 11 |
Grasshoppers
|
18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -10 | -2.6 | 15 |
| 12 |
Winterthur
|
18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -24 | -13.4 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lausanne
Zurich
Zurich
Grasshoppers
Lugano
Zurich
Servette
Zurich
Zurich
Young Boys
S Schärer · 132 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.