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Super League

Referee: Johannes von Mandach

Luzern

U T T T S

1–1

Full-time

Zurich

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Zurich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,8

4,3

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

2,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

5,0

Scored

3,0

2,0

Conceded

2,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,15 xG 0,25

46% Possession 54%

14 Shots 5

1 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 5

4 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luzern 4. · Zurich 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.4	6
2	Thun	2	2	0	0	+2	-1.6	6
3	Young Boys	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.4	4
4	Luzern	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
5	Sion	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
6	Lausanne	2	1	0	1	+0	+4.5	3
7	Basel	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.2	3
8	Winterthur	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.3	1
9	Zurich	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
10	Lugano	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
11	Grasshoppers	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.8	0
12	Servette	2	0	0	2	-5	-4.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
2	Lausanne	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.9	3
3	Basel	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.3	3
4	St. Gallen	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
5	Thun	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.7	3
6	Winterthur	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
7	Grasshoppers	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
8	Zurich	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
9	Lugano	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
10	Servette	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.3	3
2	Luzern	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
3	Sion	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
4	Thun	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
5	Young Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
6	Winterthur	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.9	0
7	Grasshoppers	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.3	0
8	Basel	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
9	Lausanne	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.7	0
10	Servette	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.