Super League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Basel
Sion
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Basel
|
25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | +25 | +16.6 | 42 |
| 2 |
Lugano
|
25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | +8 | +6.2 | 42 |
| 3 |
Luzern
|
25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | +6 | +4.6 | 42 |
| 4 |
Servette
|
25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +6 | +1.9 | 42 |
| 5 |
Lausanne
|
25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | +10 | +10.8 | 37 |
| 6 |
Young Boys
|
25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | +6 | +7.9 | 37 |
| 7 |
St. Gallen
|
25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | +6 | -4.8 | 36 |
| 8 |
Zurich
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | -2 | -5.1 | 36 |
| 9 |
Sion
|
25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | -5 | +2.9 | 30 |
| 10 |
Yverdon
|
25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -18 | -15.2 | 24 |
| 11 |
Grasshoppers
|
25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | -10 | -6.8 | 23 |
| 12 |
Winterthur
|
25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | -32 | -18.9 | 17 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
K. Rüegg
D
A. Barišić
D
F. van Breemen
D
D. Schmid
D
L. Avdullahu
M
L. Leroy
M
A. Kade
M
X. Shaqiri
M
P. Otele
M
A. Ajeti
F
Coach: F. Celestini
N. Lavanchy
D
N. Sow
D
G. Diouf
D
F. Barba
D
T. Berdayes
M
B. Kololli
M
I. Chouaref
F
Coach: D. Tholot
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
St. Gallen
Basel
Basel
Lausanne
Servette
Basel
Basel
Luzern
Zurich
Basel
S Wolfensberger · 81 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.