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Super League
Referee: S Wolfensberger
Basel
S S T U U
2–0
Full-time
Sion
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Sion
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,7
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,2
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 40%
48%
32%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
60%
56%
Both score Ø 62%
64%
60%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,1
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0,91 xG 0,75
58% Possession 42%
11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Basel 1. · Sion 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Basel 25 12 6 7 +25 +16.6 42
2 Lugano 25 12 6 7 +8 +6.2 42
3 Luzern 25 12 6 7 +6 +4.6 42
4 Servette 25 11 9 5 +6 +1.9 42
5 Lausanne 25 10 7 8 +10 +10.8 37
6 Young Boys 25 10 7 8 +6 +7.9 37
7 St. Gallen 25 9 9 7 +6 -4.8 36
8 Zurich 25 10 6 9 -2 -5.1 36
9 Sion 25 8 6 11 -5 +2.9 30
10 Yverdon 25 6 6 13 -18 -15.2 24
11 Grasshoppers 25 4 11 10 -10 -6.8 23
12 Winterthur 25 4 5 16 -32 -18.9 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Basel Sion
Leon Avdullahu 🟨
1′
0–1 B. Kololli
own goal
17′
1–1 X. Shaqiri
P. Otele
25′
Philip Otele 🟨
29′
Half-time 1–1
58′
🔁 D. Sorgić
↦ M. Bouriga
58′
🔁 T. Bouchlarhem
↦ B. Kololli
58′
🔁 P. Kasami
↦ A. Miranchuk
G. Sigua 🔁
↦ X. Shaqiri
63′
B. Traoré 🔁
↦ P. Otele
68′
72′
🔁 J. Kronig
↦ P. Kasami
72′
🔁 L. Chipperfield
↦ I. Chouaref
J. Mendes 🔁
↦ K. Rüegg
76′
Metinho 🔁
↦ L. Avdullahu
77′
Leo Leroy 🟨
83′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 M. Hitz G
27 K. Rüegg D
26 A. Barišić D
25 F. van Breemen D
31 D. Schmid D
37 L. Avdullahu M
22 L. Leroy M
30 A. Kade M
10 X. Shaqiri M
7 P. Otele M
23 A. Ajeti F
Bench (9)
21 G. Sigua
11 B. Traoré
17 J. Mendes
5 Metinho
8 Romário Baró
14 B. Fink
13 M. Salvi
19 M. Šotiček
32 J. Adjetey

Coach: F. Celestini

Sion

4-3-1-2
16 T. Fayulu G
14 N. Lavanchy D
5 N. Sow D
4 G. Diouf D
93 F. Barba D
29 T. Berdayes M
33 K. Bua M
70 B. Kololli M
10 A. Miranchuk M
99 M. Bouriga F
7 I. Chouaref F
Bench (9)
9 D. Sorgić
11 T. Bouchlarhem
22 P. Kasami
17 J. Kronig
21 L. Chipperfield
3 R. Ziegler
20 N. Hefti
28 K. Hajrizi
1 H. Lindner

Coach: D. Tholot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Wolfensberger · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.