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Champions League
Referee: I Kovacs
FC Copenhagen
T S S U U
2–0
Full-time
Basel
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/1 matches
Win Ø 30%
60%
0%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 10%
20%
0%
Both score Ø 60%
20%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
0,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
11 Shots 20
7 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 9
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 3
25 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Aug -25 Basel – FC Copenhagen 1–1

Match report

FC Copenhagen Basel
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Cornelius ⚽
E. Achouri
46′
Y. Moukoko 🔁
↦ E. Achouri
61′
W. Clem 🔁
↦ M. Mattsson
64′
68′
🔁 A. Ajeti
↦ M. Broschinski
79′
🔁 K. Koindredi
↦ L. Leroy
79′
🔁 Junior Ze
↦ M. Soticek
V. Claesson 🔁
↦ A. Cornelius
80′
Robert 🔁
↦ J. Larsson
80′
2–0 Y. Moukoko ⚽
84′
Viktor Claesson 🟨
85′
86′
🔁 Kaio Eduardo
↦ X. Shaqiri
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen

4-4-2
42 D. Kotarski G
13 R. Huescas D
5 Gabriel Pereira D
6 P. Hatzidiakos D
15 M. Lopez D
11 J. Larsson M
8 M. Mattsson M
12 L. Lerager M
30 E. Achouri M
14 A. Cornelius F
10 M. Elyounoussi F
Bench (12)
31 R. A. Runarsson
61 O. Buur
4 M. Garananga
7 V. Claesson
9 Y. Moukoko
16 Robert
20 J. Suzuki
22 Y. Zague
23 D. Sarapata
24 B. Meling
27 T. Delaney
36 W. Clem

Coach: Jacob Neestrup

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 M. Hitz G
6 K. Tsunemoto D
26 A. Barisic D
3 N. Vouilloz D
31 D. Schmid D
5 Metinho M
22 L. Leroy M
19 M. Soticek M
10 X. Shaqiri M
7 P. Otele M
17 M. Broschinski F
Bench (12)
13 M. Salvi
47 T. Pfeiffer
8 K. Koindredi
14 A. Bacanin
23 A. Ajeti
27 K. Ruegg
28 D. Kacuri
29 M. Cisse
39 Junior Ze
40 A. Rexhaj
43 M. Akahomen
46 Kaio Eduardo

Coach: Stephan Lichtsteiner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kovacs · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.