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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Winterthur
S S S T U
2–0
Full-time
Sion
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Sion
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 29%
27%
30%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
54%
49%
Both score Ø 57%
49%
65%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,37 xG 0,79
42% Possession 58%
13 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Winterthur 10. · Sion 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Basel 37 21 7 9 +44 +22.4 70
2 Servette 37 17 11 9 +9 +0.7 62
3 Young Boys 37 17 9 11 +11 +8.2 60
4 Zurich 37 15 8 14 +0 -2.2 53
5 Lugano 37 15 8 14 -3 +7.7 53
6 Lausanne 37 14 10 13 +8 +10.2 52
7 Luzern 37 14 10 13 +6 +8.1 52
8 St. Gallen 37 13 13 11 +1 -3.7 52
9 Sion 37 11 11 15 -8 -0.1 44
10 Winterthur 37 10 7 20 -27 -21.7 37
11 Grasshoppers 37 8 12 17 -12 -12.6 36
12 Yverdon 37 8 12 17 -29 -17.1 36

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Winterthur Sion
1–0 C. Gomis
R. Schneider
23′
Dario Ulrich 🟨
26′
2–0 C. Gomis
M. Di Giusto
40′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Marquinhos Cipriano
↦ G. Diouf
63′
🟨 Noé Sow
63′
🔁 P. Kasami
↦ M. Bouriga
69′
🔁 R. Stoll
↦ F. Barba
69′
🔁 A. Llukes
↦ A. Kabacalman
70′
🔁 M. Dubosson
↦ A. Miranchuk
S. Cueni 🔁
↦ J. Lukembila
71′
L. Mühl 🔁
↦ N. Burkart
71′
F. Frei 🔁
↦ L. Zuffi
71′
R. Buess 🔁
↦ C. Gomis
76′
86′
🟨 Rayan Stoll
B. Stillhart 🔁
↦ M. Di Giusto
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Winterthur

4-2-3-1
1 S. Kapino G
24 S. Sidler D
16 R. Arnold D
21 L. Lüthi D
19 D. Ulrich D
7 L. Zuffi M
6 R. Schneider M
90 J. Lukembila M
10 M. Di Giusto M
99 N. Burkart M
15 C. Gomis F
Bench (9)
44 S. Cueni
5 L. Mühl
20 F. Frei
9 R. Buess
4 B. Stillhart
18 S. Diaby
26 L. Sahitaj
84 L. Bajrami
30 M. Kuster

Coach: U. Forte

Sion

4-2-3-1
16 T. Fayulu G
14 N. Lavanchy D
28 K. Hajrizi D
4 G. Diouf D
93 F. Barba D
88 A. Kabacalman M
5 N. Sow M
7 I. Chouaref M
10 A. Miranchuk M
70 B. Kololli M
99 M. Bouriga F
Bench (9)
6 Marquinhos Cipriano
22 P. Kasami
90 R. Stoll
63 A. Llukes
24 M. Dubosson
17 J. Kronig
21 L. Chipperfield
19 D. Djokic
81 N. Godwin

Coach: D. Tholot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Fähndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.