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Super League

Referee: F San

Basel

S U T T S

2–1

Full-time

St. Gallen

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel St. Gallen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,8

Scored

1,7

Conceded

0,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 44%

44%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

44%

Both score Ø 45%

33%

56%

Average goals

2,8

3,1

Scored

1,8

1,9

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,20 xG 0,92

52% Possession 48%

21 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 9

1 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Basel 6. · St. Gallen 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	10	6	3	1	+7	+0.4	21
2	Servette	10	6	2	2	+1	-1.8	20
3	Luzern	10	5	3	2	+5	+2.1	18
4	Lugano	9	5	3	1	+5	+0.9	18
5	St. Gallen	9	4	2	3	+6	-1.2	14
6	Basel	9	4	1	4	+7	+2.4	13
7	Sion	10	3	3	4	+0	+6.0	12
8	Young Boys	10	2	3	5	-5	-2.8	9
9	Yverdon	9	2	3	4	-5	-5.9	9
10	Grasshoppers	10	2	2	6	-5	+2.8	8
11	Lausanne	9	2	2	5	-6	+3.3	8
12	Winterthur	9	2	1	6	-10	-6.1	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	5	4	0	1	+1	-2.0	12
2	Zurich	5	3	2	0	+5	-0.9	11
3	St. Gallen	5	3	1	1	+7	-0.0	10
4	Luzern	5	3	1	1	+4	+3.0	10
5	Lugano	5	3	1	1	+3	+2.6	10
6	Sion	5	2	3	0	+6	+7.5	9
7	Yverdon	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.9	7
8	Winterthur	5	2	1	2	-2	-1.6	7
9	Lausanne	4	2	0	2	+1	+3.2	6
10	Basel	4	2	0	2	+0	+2.5	6
11	Young Boys	5	1	2	2	-1	-4.3	5
12	Grasshoppers	5	1	2	2	-2	+3.2	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	5	3	1	1	+2	+1.3	10
2	Lugano	4	2	2	0	+2	-1.8	8
3	Luzern	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.9	8
4	Servette	5	2	2	1	+0	+0.2	8
5	Basel	5	2	1	2	+7	-0.0	7
6	St. Gallen	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.2	4
7	Young Boys	5	1	1	3	-4	+1.5	4
8	Grasshoppers	5	1	0	4	-3	-0.4	3
9	Sion	5	1	0	4	-6	-1.5	3
10	Yverdon	5	0	2	3	-5	-5.0	2
11	Lausanne	5	0	2	3	-7	+0.0	2
12	Winterthur	4	0	0	4	-8	-4.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.