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Super League

Referee: L Cibelli

Basel

U U S T T

5–2

Full-time

Winterthur

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Winterthur

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,8

1,7

Scored

1,7

0,5

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — Super League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

0,0

Scored

1,0

0,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3,61 xG 2,21

44% Possession 56%

20 Shots 17

11 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 0

1 Offside 6

12 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Basel 10. · Winterthur 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.7	6
2	Servette	2	1	1	0	+2	–	4
3	Zurich	2	1	1	0	+2	–	4
4	Luzern	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.3	4
5	Young Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
6	St. Gallen	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.5	3
7	Winterthur	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
8	Lausanne	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.6	1
9	Grasshoppers	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.6	1
10	Basel	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
11	Yverdon	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
12	Lausanne Ouchy	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
2	St. Gallen	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
3	Luzern	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
4	Young Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
5	Lugano	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
6	Servette	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
7	Lausanne	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
8	Winterthur	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
9	Grasshoppers	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
10	Lausanne Ouchy	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.2	3
2	Servette	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
3	Zurich	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
4	Grasshoppers	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
5	Luzern	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
6	Basel	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
7	Lausanne Ouchy	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
8	Lausanne	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
9	St. Gallen	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
10	Yverdon	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.