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Bundesliga
Referee: G Grobelnik
2–1
Full-time
Ried
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsberger AC Ried
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
72%
61%
Both score Ø 64%
56%
72%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%
3 Shots 16
1 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsberger AC 3. · Ried 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 19 15 3 1 +31 48
2 Sturm Graz 18 9 4 5 +11 31
3 Wolfsberger AC 18 9 4 5 +3 31
4 A. Klagenfurt 18 6 7 5 -1 25
5 SK Rapid 19 6 6 7 -1 24
6 Ried 18 6 6 6 -10 24
7 Austria Vienna 18 4 9 5 +2 21
8 Hartberg 18 5 6 7 +0 21
9 LASK 18 5 5 8 -3 20
10 Tirol 18 4 7 7 -10 19
11 Admira 18 3 7 8 -4 16
12 Altach 18 3 4 11 -18 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsberger AC Ried
8′
🟨 Philipp Pomer
0–1 M. Gragger
own goal
10′
39′
A. Bajic 0–2
S. Nutz
Amar Dedic 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–2
1–2 T. Baribo
47′
52′
🟨 Matthias Gragger
53′
🟨 Stefan Nutz
57′
🟨 Julian Wiessmeier
66′
🔁 M. Canadi
↦ L. Mikić
T. Röcher 🔁
↦ T. Baribo
77′
K. Stratznig 🔁
↦ M. Taferner
77′
C. Wernitznig 🔁
↦ E. Peretz
77′
81′
🔁 N. Dorgeles
↦ A. Bajic
81′
🔁 J. Weberbauer
↦ J. Wießmeier
81′
🔁 M. Jovicic
↦ M. Gragger
84′
ℹ️ Josef Weberbauer
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Alexander Kofler 🟨
89′
C. Dieng 🔁
↦ M. Liendl
91′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Wolfsberger AC

4-3-1-2
31 A. Kofler G
27 M. Novak D
44 L. Lochoshvili D
77 A. Dedić D
10 M. Liendl M
16 M. Leitgeb M
7 E. Peretz M
30 M. Taferner M
97 A. Jasic D
9 D. Vizinger F
11 T. Baribo F
Bench (7)
18 T. Röcher
33 K. Stratznig
24 C. Wernitznig
8 C. Dieng
20 A. Boakye
29 M. Kuttin
6 N. Veratschnig

Coach: R. Dutt

Ried

4-2-3-1
1 S. Şahin-Radlinger G
10 J. Wießmeier D
24 T. Plavotić D
2 L. Meisl D
15 M. Gragger D
22 S. Nutz M
12 A. Bajic M
20 M. Şatin M
17 P. Pomer M
37 N. Stošić M
21 L. Mikić F
Bench (7)
7 M. Canadi
45 N. Dorgeles
23 J. Weberbauer
30 M. Jovicic
26 N. Zdichynec
25 F. Seiwald
32 C. Haas

Coach: R. Ibertsberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Grobelnik · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.