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Bundesliga
Referee: P Ciochirca
Ried
S S T T U
2–0
Full-time
Tirol
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ried Tirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 8/7 matches
Win Ø 27%
25%
29%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
57%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,8
3,4
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
20 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 1
4 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ried 9. · Tirol 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 SK Rapid 8 5 2 1 +5 +0.8 17
2 Sturm Graz 7 5 0 2 +8 +2.9 15
3 Salzburg 8 4 2 2 +6 +4.2 14
4 Wolfsberger AC 8 4 2 2 +5 +0.1 14
5 Austria Vienna 8 4 1 3 +0 +0.0 13
6 Altach 8 3 3 2 +2 +1.1 12
7 Hartberg 8 3 1 4 +0 -0.4 10
8 Tirol 7 2 3 2 +0 +3.9 9
9 Ried 8 2 2 4 -2 -2.4 8
10 BW Linz 8 2 1 5 -5 -2.2 7
11 LASK 8 2 0 6 -8 -5.0 6
12 Grazer AK 8 0 5 3 -11 -3.0 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ried Tirol
1–0 M. Grosse ⚽
15′
33′
🟨 Valentino Müller
Half-time 1–0
Antonio Van Wyk ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
48′
53′
🟨 Quincy Butler
Michael Sollbauer 🟨
55′
55′
🟨 David Kubatta
Kingstone Mutandwa 🟨
58′
58′
🟨 Jamie Lawrence
P. Kiedl 🔁
↦ K. Mutandwa
60′
65′
🔁 D. Gugganig
↦ D. Kubatta
65′
🔁 N. Baden Frederiksen
↦ M. Wels
65′
🔁 L. Hinterseer
↦ A. Ola-Adebomi
65′
🔁 T. Anselm
↦ T. Sabitzer
2–0 A. van Wyk ⚽
M. Grosse
80′
N. Bajlicz 🔁
↦ M. Grosse
86′
J. Boguo 🔁
↦ A. van Wyk
88′
M. Rasner 🔁
↦ J. Mayer
89′
F. Rossdorfer 🔁
↦ A. Bajic
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ried

3-4-3
1 A. Leitner G
5 N. Havenaar D
23 M. Sollbauer D
30 O. Steurer D
12 A. Bajic M
6 Y. Maart M
26 J. Mayer M
17 P. Pomer M
10 M. Grosse F
7 K. Mutandwa F
29 A. van Wyk F
Bench (9)
77 F. Wimmer
8 M. Rasner
9 S. Sane
13 P. Kiedl
15 J. Boguo
18 F. Rossdorfer
24 C. Wernitznig
14 P. Weissenbacher
28 N. Bajlicz

Coach: Maximilian Senft

Tirol

3-4-3
40 A. Stejskal G
23 M. Boras D
5 J. Lawrence D
14 D. Kubatta D
7 Q. Butler
4 V. Muller M
30 M. Taferner M
20 B. Bockle M
37 M. Wels F
9 A. Ola-Adebomi F
10 T. Sabitzer F
Bench (9)
13 A. Eckmayr
3 D. Gugganig
28 T. Geris
17 J. Naschberger
21 Y. Votter
33 F. Rieder
29 N. Baden Frederiksen
16 L. Hinterseer
11 T. Anselm

Coach: Philipp Semlic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

P Ciochirca · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.