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Bundesliga
Referee: A Kijas
Tirol
U S U S T
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Austria Vienna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 32%
22%
41%
Points per game
0,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
48%
41%
Both score Ø 41%
48%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

30% Possession 70%
13 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
4 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Tirol 11. · Austria Vienna 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 27 18 6 3 +38 60
2 Sturm Graz 27 17 7 3 +29 58
3 LASK 27 11 9 7 +8 42
4 Austria Vienna 27 11 9 7 +7 42
5 SK Rapid 27 9 12 6 +19 39
6 Hartberg 27 10 8 9 -2 38
7 A. Klagenfurt 27 8 12 7 -5 36
8 Wolfsberger AC 27 8 10 9 -4 34
9 Altach 27 5 11 11 -12 26
10 BW Linz 27 4 11 12 -17 23
11 Tirol 27 6 4 17 -23 22
12 A. Lustenau 27 2 7 18 -38 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tirol Austria Vienna
Felix Bacher 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
Lukas Sulzbacher 🟨
53′
64′
🔁 R. Vučić
↦ M. Husković
64′
🔁 H. Guenouche
↦ D. Fitz
64′
🔁 J. Holland
↦ M. Wels
M. Taferner 🔁
↦ L. Kronberger
70′
S. Ogrinec 🔁
↦ B. Blume
70′
D. Tomic 🔁
↦ A. Buksa
76′
81′
🔁 F. Asllani
↦ J. Holland
David Gugganig ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
85′
1–0 D. Tomic
87′
93′
🟥 Hakim Guenouche
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Tirol

5-3-2
40 A. Stejskal G
6 L. Sulzbacher D
5 F. Bacher D
22 O. Okungbowa D
3 D. Gugganig D
28 T. Geris D
7 L. Kronberger M
17 J. Naschberger M
10 B. Blume M
9 N. Prelec F
11 A. Buksa F
Bench (7)
30 M. Taferner
98 S. Ogrinec
18 D. Tomic
1 P. Schermer
14 A. Ranacher
4 V. Müller
44 K. Schulz

Coach: T. Silberberger

Austria Vienna

3-4-3
1 C. Früchtl G
66 M. Martins D
24 T. Plavotić D
40 M. Meisl D
26 R. Ranftl M
30 M. Fischer M
37 M. Wels M
41 F. Krätzig M
17 A. Gruber F
9 M. Husković F
36 D. Fitz F
Bench (7)
27 R. Vučić
21 H. Guenouche
8 J. Holland
10 F. Asllani
33 A. Schmidt
99 M. Kos
15 A. Ilić

Coach: M. Wimmer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Kijas · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.