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Bundesliga
Referee: C Hunter
3–0
Full-time
Tirol
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna Tirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 31%
38%
23%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
38%
46%
Both score Ø 43%
35%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

56% Possession 44%
9 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 4
5 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Austria Vienna 5. · Tirol 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 27 17 7 3 +29 58
2 Salzburg 26 17 6 3 +36 57
3 LASK 26 11 9 6 +10 42
4 SK Rapid 27 9 12 6 +19 39
5 Austria Vienna 26 10 9 7 +4 39
6 A. Klagenfurt 26 8 12 6 -3 36
7 Hartberg 26 9 8 9 -4 35
8 Wolfsberger AC 26 8 9 9 -4 33
9 Altach 26 5 10 11 -12 25
10 BW Linz 26 4 10 12 -17 22
11 Tirol 26 6 4 16 -20 22
12 A. Lustenau 26 2 6 18 -38 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Austria Vienna Tirol
1–0 A. Gruber
D. Fitz
13′
2–0 D. Fitz
A. Gruber
32′
37′
🟨 Lukas Sulzbacher
37′
🟨 Osarenren Okungbowa
Half-time 2–0
46′
🟨 Mahamadou Diarra
46′
🔁 L. Kronberger
↦ S. Ogrinec
46′
🔁 J. Naschberger
↦ V. Müller
46′
🔁 T. Geris
↦ K. Schulz
Johannes Handl 🟨
57′
M. Fischer 🔁
↦ M. Wels
62′
M. Husković 🔁
↦ H. Guenouche
62′
62′
🔁 A. Buksa
↦ M. Diarra
3–0 M. Husković
A. Gruber
83′
L. Pazourek 🔁
↦ J. Handl
85′
R. Vučić 🔁
↦ D. Fitz
85′
86′
🔁 B. Blume
↦ M. Taferner
M. Meisl 🔁
↦ Lucas Galvão
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Austria Vienna

3-4-1-2
1 C. Früchtl G
46 J. Handl D
24 T. Plavotić D
3 Lucas Galvão D
26 R. Ranftl M
8 J. Holland M
37 M. Wels M
41 F. Krätzig M
36 D. Fitz F
17 A. Gruber F
21 H. Guenouche F
Bench (7)
30 M. Fischer
9 M. Husković
2 L. Pazourek
27 R. Vučić
40 M. Meisl
99 M. Kos
33 A. Schmidt

Coach: M. Wimmer

Tirol

5-3-2
40 A. Stejskal G
6 L. Sulzbacher D
5 F. Bacher D
22 O. Okungbowa D
3 D. Gugganig D
44 K. Schulz D
30 M. Taferner M
4 V. Müller M
98 S. Ogrinec M
8 M. Diarra F
9 N. Prelec F
Bench (7)
7 L. Kronberger
17 J. Naschberger
28 T. Geris
11 A. Buksa
10 B. Blume
1 P. Schermer
20 C. Üstündag

Coach: T. Silberberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.