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Bundesliga
Referee: J Semler
Salzburg
S S U S S
2–1
Full-time
BW Linz
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg BW Linz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 46%
48%
43%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
43%
61%
Both score Ø 52%
43%
61%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
15 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
14 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salzburg 3. · BW Linz 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 24 15 5 4 +25 50
2 Austria Vienna 23 15 4 4 +19 49
3 Salzburg 23 11 8 4 +13 41
4 Wolfsberger AC 23 11 4 8 +14 37
5 LASK 24 11 4 9 +2 37
6 SK Rapid 24 9 7 8 +4 34
7 BW Linz 23 10 3 10 -1 33
8 Hartberg 24 7 8 9 -6 29
9 A. Klagenfurt 24 6 6 12 -22 24
10 Tirol 24 4 8 12 -13 20
11 Altach 24 4 7 13 -16 19
12 Grazer AK 24 3 8 13 -19 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Nov -24 BW Linz – Salzburg 2–0 10. Aug -24 Salzburg – BW Linz 5–1 17. Feb -24 BW Linz – Salzburg 1–1 23. Sep -23 Salzburg – BW Linz 0–1

Match report

Salzburg BW Linz
33′
🔁 D. Mitrović
↦ Anderson
T. Trummer 🔁
↦ L. Morgalla
34′
Half-time 0–0
O. Gloukh 🔁
↦ Y. Vertessen
46′
1–0 D. Nene ⚽
A. Terzić
55′
64′
🔁 A. Schmidt
↦ S. Seidl
2–0 E. Baidoo ⚽
71′
73′
🔁 E. Bakatukanda
↦ M. Moormann
73′
🔁 K. Dobras
↦ Ronivaldo
73′
🔁 C. Noß
↦ T. Goiginger
82′
⚽ D. Mitrović 2–1
S. Pirkl
P. Ratkov 🔁
↦ D. Nene
86′
B. Clark 🔁
↦ E. Baidoo
86′
M. Caufriez 🔁
↦ M. Bidstrup
86′
Petar Ratkov 🟨
87′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-2-2-2
1 J. Blaswich G
39 L. Morgalla D
23 J. Gadou D
6 S. Baidoo D
3 A. Terzić D
38 V. Sulzbacher M
18 M. Bidstrup M
20 E. Baidoo M
45 D. Nene M
9 K. Onisiwo F
11 Y. Vertessen F
Bench (7)
37 T. Trummer
30 O. Gloukh
21 P. Ratkov
10 B. Clark
2 M. Caufriez
29 D. Guindo
52 C. Zawieschitzky

Coach: T. Letsch

BW Linz

3-4-3
1 R. Vítek G
17 A. Pašić D
15 M. Maranda D
16 M. Moormann D
28 Anderson M
18 S. Diabaté M
19 A. Briedl M
60 S. Pirkl M
20 S. Seidl F
9 Ronivaldo F
27 T. Goiginger F
Bench (7)
5 D. Mitrović
13 A. Schmidt
4 E. Bakatukanda
30 K. Dobras
7 C. Noß
24 T. Turner
14 J. Gölles

Coach: G. Scheiblehner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Semler · 29 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.